Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 February 16-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x026928ed4eb29ad416ea6435bc4dd9f9e8b79ff5bffd3836f23ad5b659d76362
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $360,027
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $362,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $360,027 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3822…b720backed Yes | 9c | 22,729$1,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,933.78 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…0a1bbacked Yes | 2c | 18,000$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 21c | 13,214$2,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,768.79 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…5df9backed Yes | 5c | 12,000$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc747…324bbacked Yes | 4c | 7,459$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.7 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | +12.3wins | +0.19per pick | 4cpaid | +272.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 4,980$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8d…b8f8backed Yes | 3c | 4,900$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5360…1f6fbacked Yes | 4c | 4,800$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.43 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fe…50c4backed Yes | 17c | 4,533$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…83a5backed Yes | 19c | 4,286$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d48…6573backed Yes | 19c | 4,021$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.84 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…1183backed Yes | 13c | 3,865$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…6c61backed Yes | 14c | 3,484$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.1 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 6c | 3,311$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.88 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5e…79c7backed Yes | 23c | 3,178$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.6 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…2927backed Yes | 8c | 3,093$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.17 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed Yes | 33c | 2,891$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.71 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa793…1776backed Yes | 39c | 2,696$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.05 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -83.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe555…a91dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,596$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e85…9331backed No | 76c | 2,500$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b9…dc25backed Yes | 5c | 2,308$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.12 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x887f…7858backed Yes | 17c | 2,033$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked No | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dda…6ec7backed Yes | 15c | 1,820$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.76 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 10c | 1,768$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.15 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7c…1439backed Yes | 1c | 1,623$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 18c | 1,616$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.66 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,566$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.97 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 10c | 1,515$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.65 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec68…a36fbacked Yes | 19c | 1,500$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.8 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf424…3d9dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.19per pick | 18cpaid | +203.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5621…9c70backed Yes | 17c | 1,385$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 6c | 1,277$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.15 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed No | 79c | 1,262$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.89 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…1532backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…d1c6backed Yes | 10c | 1,230$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 19c | 1,200$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,175$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.54 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…51e0backed Yes | 8c | 1,153$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.58 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd27…b1dbbacked Yes | 5c | 1,150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.95 | 137 | 5.8%8 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 5c | 1,100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.31 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62e…8885backed Yes | 27c | 1,064$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Yes | 23c | 883.91$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…8613backed Yes | 9c | 800$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9e…0179backed Yes | 17c | 796.02$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2510…60adbacked Yes | 29c | 791.97$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.06 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…230abacked Yes | 7c | 759.38$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.75 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 20cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53b5…d768backed Yes | 16c | 747.79$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.27 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9716backed Yes | 7c | 729.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60be…be08backed Yes | 9c | 680.05$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0070…0414backed Yes | 26c | 660.53$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.56 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3761…bb47backed Yes | 8c | 646.54$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.62 | 66 | 15.2%10 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…2cfbbacked Yes | 5c | 600$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 3c | 596.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +8.5wins | +0.15per pick | 3cpaid | +321.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…cb3ebacked Yes | 45c | 558.58$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…0ae6backed Yes | 6c | 554.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd859…38c5backed Yes | 11c | 551.13$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.37 | 143 | 7.7%11 W · 132 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x063d…35c7backed Yes | 7c | 499.32$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 3c | 423.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9204…7bd5backed Yes | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2a…6b99backed Yes | 13c | 336.38$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…8526backed Yes | 7c | 331.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 128 | 5.5%7 W · 121 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa772…05efbacked No | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ead…c599backed Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e22…6f48backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…8003backed Yes | 15c | 250$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7e…622cbacked Yes | 4c | 238.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…42ebbacked No | 71c | 236.9$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aec…7008backed Yes | 7c | 210.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe585…91b5backed No | 73c | 206.03$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.03 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9810…4925backed Yes | 10c | 206$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…13bfbacked No | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 181 | 62.4%113 W · 68 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca47…d6fdbacked Yes | 9c | 182.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59f6…2f2ebacked No | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18b0…b5b9backed Yes | 17c | 181$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…3a34backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c7…ff77backed Yes | 9c | 170$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +877.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5784…0830backed No | 69c | 165.58$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.58 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2624…b720backed Yes | 50c | 155$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0066…394fbacked Yes | 23c | 150$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9630…f19ebacked Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec9…98d7backed Yes | 28c | 149.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…20f7backed No | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 100 | 67%67 W · 33 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41b9…de55backed Yes | 14c | 140$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…d7dcbacked Yes | 29c | 138.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2edb…9ac5backed No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d62…7d4dbacked Yes | 17c | 125.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1e…1f2fbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…7cd4backed No | 62c | 120.66$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…02dabacked Yes | 13c | 105.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5379…a031backed Yes | 28c | 94.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad8b…e625backed Yes | 33c | 91.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1dc…7525backed Yes | 35c | 83.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -80%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeae…058dbacked No | 65c | 79.33$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa894…7607backed Yes | 29c | 67.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -51%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9393…18cfbacked No | 77c | 50.21$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…85e9backed No | 59c | 45.8$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…3512backed Yes | 25c | 44.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4730…cdb1backed Yes | 25c | 43.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 February 16-22?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 February 16-22?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 February 16-22?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 February 16-22?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 February 16-22?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 16-22?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 February 16-22?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 February 16-22?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 February 16-22?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 February 16-22?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 February 16-22?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 February 16-22?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 February 16-22?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 February 16-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.