TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1f32…1532

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
112
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 58 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$65.39
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+334%+$35.64
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 April 20-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.52
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 April 20-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$48.99
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.18
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 April 13-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.27
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.67
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 April 6-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$958Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+86.4%+$828.04
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 March 30-April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.01
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 30-April 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$49.85
Will Solana reach $90 March 30-April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.82
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 March 30-April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.3
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 30-April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.45
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 March 16-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,378Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,378
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 February 16-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $108K on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $106K on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+488.7%+$7,819.06
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106K and $108K on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,500
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106K on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT+196.1%+$980.44
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $106K on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$700
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102K and $104K on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$700
Bitcoin above $103,000 on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$851.35
All 24 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2020%4 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-53.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$2,199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,199.35
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$700
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+222.1%+$1,554.71
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$748Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$748
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$443.4
Jets vs. Starsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Jets vs. Starsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$142
Capitals vs. Hurricanesbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Golden Knights vs. Oilersbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$225.53
Capitals vs. Hurricanesbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 20 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+31.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Trump say "God" 5+ times during his 4th of July remarks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Trump say "Israel" or "Iran" during his 4th of July remarks?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+224.2%+$224.16
Will Trump say "ICE" during his 4th of July remarks?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+92.5%+$51.29
Will Trump say "America / American" 35+ times during his 4th of July remarks?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during his 4th of July remarks?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+122.6%+$122.56
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" during his 4th of July remarks?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$156.41
Will Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 7+ times during his 4th of July remarks?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$194.04
Will Trump say "Trans / Transgender" during his 4th of July remarks?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+37%+$36.99
Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Trump say "Ozempic" at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Trump say "Tariff" 5+ times at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+100.7%+$50.36
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick38cpaid+109.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Lakersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Sunsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Jazz vs. Hornetsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
76ers vs. Netsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+51.5%+$51.52
Grizzlies vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+58.7%+$58.73
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$162.22
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+426.3%+$426.32
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$177.27
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$167.39
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$158.33
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Astros vs. Athleticsbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Red Sox vs. Marinersbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Twins vs. Redsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Cardinals vs. White Soxbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$163.64
Mets vs. Bravesbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Orioles vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Phillies vs. Marlinsbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
White Sox vs. Rangersbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Guardians vs. Marinersbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Mets vs. Yankeesbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+117.8%+$117.83
Athletics vs. Dodgersbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$71.11
All 11 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perrybacked Diaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Joshua Van · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+150%+$75
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Waldo Cortes-Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+200.9%+$261.13
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Yan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+334.8%+$334.78
Will Jack Della Maddalena win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+156.7%+$156.67
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-52.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,036Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,036
Will Donald Trump say "nuclear" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+87.5%+$87.52
Will Donald Trump say "AI" or "artificial intelligence" during Israel President events on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Donald Trump say "hostage" 4+ times during Israel President events on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+89.5%+$89.49
Will Donald Trump say "ISIS" during Israel President events on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Donald Trump say "Syria" during Israel President events on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$72
Will Donald Trump say "hell" during Israel President events on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Donald Trump say "eighth war" or "eight wars" during Israel President events on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 8 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+33.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold hit $3,600 before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 32°C or higher on March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$121
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.