MLB · resolved market
Twins vs. Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41fc753fbdb290ae9abd32bdbbbf5627e501365a05036edfdd5a00c4e3d1e03c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Redsof Twins, Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,832
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,308
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,832 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Twins | 37c | 4,238$1,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.31 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Reds | 53c | 4,138$2,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,944.66 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Twins | 40c | 2,627$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.05 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Twins | 32c | 2,553$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.42 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Reds | 44c | 2,437$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.94 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Reds | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Twins | 47c | 1,988$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.36 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Twins | 48c | 1,910$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.79 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Twins | 32c | 1,838$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.5 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Twins | 46c | 1,657$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.36 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Twins | 32c | 1,558$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Twins | 47c | 1,490$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.3 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Reds | 52c | 1,474$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.28 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe6…5cf6backed Reds | 42c | 1,363$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.19 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Twins | 47c | 1,352$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.22 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Twins | 47c | 1,050$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.5 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Reds | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Reds | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Twins | 48c | 999.97$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Twins | 47c | 960.7$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.53 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Reds | 66c | 743.21$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.08 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Reds | 72c | 704.16$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.89 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Reds | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Twins | 48c | 520.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.74 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Reds | 41c | 510.05$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.92 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Twins | 45c | 499.91$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.62 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Reds | 78c | 430.89$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.31 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Reds | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Reds | 52c | 399.91$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.96 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Reds | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Reds | 54c | 371.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.2 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Reds | 53c | 339.62$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.62 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…1532backed Twins | 60c | 334.59$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Reds | 54c | 307.15$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.29 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Twins | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Reds | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Reds | 42c | 254.11$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.99 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Reds | 71c | 220$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Reds | 44c | 215.91$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.91 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Twins | 47c | 213.97$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.57 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Reds | 55c | 210.27$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.27 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Reds | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.1 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Reds | 53c | 199.94$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.97 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Twins | 46c | 197.96$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.06 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5001…49c3backed Reds | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Reds | 51c | 180.34$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.08 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Reds | 53c | 179.49$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.49 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe0…9f03backed Twins | 17c | 172.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Reds | 40c | 163.01$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.1 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Reds | 52c | 160.95$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.01 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Twins | 48c | 151.67$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Reds | 53c | 149.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Twins | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Twins | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Reds | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Reds | 51c | 117.44$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.44 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Reds | 52c | 111.21$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.38 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7b…709dbacked Twins | 49c | 108.16$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Twins | 13c | 107.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1602…ef32backed Twins | 47c | 103.57$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Reds | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Reds | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44dd…7153backed Twins | 46c | 99.96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.98 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Reds | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Twins | 47c | 95.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Twins | 47c | 89.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Twins | 46c | 87.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.46 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Reds | 53c | 86$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.42 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Twins | 47c | 74.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0fe8backed Reds | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Reds | 41c | 73.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.54 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Reds | 52c | 71.48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Reds | 46c | 64.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.94 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c12…717ebacked Twins | 47c | 62.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Reds | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf61…8633backed Reds | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…73c3backed Reds | 54c | 54.63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aca…5b87backed Reds | 54c | 53.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Reds | 51c | 53.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…fec6backed Reds | 52c | 52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Reds | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Twins | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Reds | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2d…e348backed Reds | 52c | 49.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 181 | 59.1%107 W · 74 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Twins | 45c | 49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Reds | 35c | 48.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Twins | 47c | 47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4e…e716backed Reds | 54c | 46.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Twins | 45c | 46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Reds | 52c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Reds | 54c | 44.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80fc…c14fbacked Twins | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked Reds | 53c | 41.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Twins | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Reds | 53c | 37.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…d29ebacked Reds | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -54%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd221…9d0bbacked Reds | 54c | 36.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Twins | 47c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…9f56backed Twins | 45c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a22…84b8backed Reds | 54c | 31.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.