Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $90 March 30-April 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f519356296de6e755560eebecd0435ed23e74e30fedb8627007de0d651a3065
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,395
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,395 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x06dc…4524backed No | 79c | 9,421$7,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,015.06 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed Yes | 28c | 1,486$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.7 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb37b…5186backed Yes | 27c | 1,349$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.94 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x104a…5b05backed Yes | 43c | 963.56$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.97 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…5295backed Yes | 3c | 912.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 227 | 0.9%2 W · 225 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc79a…9b44backed Yes | 14c | 878.33$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…1dd8backed Yes | 25c | 653.9$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.28 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d10…478dbacked Yes | 7c | 625.88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 18c | 499.54$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.92 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +197.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed Yes | 7c | 454.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea95…f040backed Yes | 35c | 414.53$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c0…d99abacked Yes | 6c | 295.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…1532backed Yes | 33c | 293.38$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ca…ea69backed Yes | 27c | 288.77$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f89…00e5backed Yes | 28c | 287.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.42 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf493…ce3bbacked Yes | 14c | 276.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 137 | 3.6%5 W · 132 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…6ebcbacked No | 73c | 164.88$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.12 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed Yes | 32c | 121.08$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca0c…b9b6backed Yes | 23c | 88.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a4…a548backed Yes | 31c | 83.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 21c | 81.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08d0…1f1fbacked No | 72c | 58.88$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24a6…0e2dbacked No | 67c | 58.09$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82a…9055backed Yes | 33c | 58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec17…e70cbacked No | 63c | 32.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce7…0f6abacked No | 65c | 31.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd6…4b03backed No | 62c | 30.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36bc…eb26backed No | 74c | 19.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $90 March 30-April 5?this page
- Will Solana dip to $10 March 30-April 5?No won
- Will Solana dip to $50 March 30-April 5?No won
- Will Solana dip to $60 March 30-April 5?No won
- Will Solana dip to $70 March 30-April 5?No won
- Will Solana reach $100 March 30-April 5?No won
- Will Solana reach $110 March 30-April 5?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.