Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana dip to $70 March 30-April 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d4761d38689d7671f1f896ba646213852f5913ce977f0220c36aff77f578e19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,238
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,238 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xab51…2473backed Yes | 3c | 9,725$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.58 | 118 | 13.6%16 W · 102 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 4cpaid | +281.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69a0…3eafbacked Yes | 4c | 6,298$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.93 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed Yes | 8c | 5,879$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.45 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c2…8915backed Yes | 8c | 2,256$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.6 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1087…013bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,840$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.88 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf921…be16backed Yes | 14c | 1,720$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.62 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b2…2978backed Yes | 8c | 1,575$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f69…acb6backed Yes | 5c | 1,413$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.17 | 179 | 2.2%4 W · 175 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c6…927bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,136$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.63 | 167 | 2.4%4 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefcc…4883backed Yes | 6c | 1,128$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.85 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 992.43$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd2…0eacbacked Yes | 5c | 703.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7622…e618backed Yes | 12c | 659.69$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ca…ea69backed Yes | 7c | 620.17$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…9e41backed Yes | 4c | 601.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 4c | 600$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 137 | 3.6%5 W · 132 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 4c | 536$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +197.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6869…1528backed Yes | 4c | 486.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd984…18dfbacked Yes | 5c | 387$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…83d3backed Yes | 12c | 357.49$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.69 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 5c | 293.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 89 | 19.1%17 W · 72 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e8…9cbebacked Yes | 6c | 292.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3097…ff47backed Yes | 5c | 207.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa4…6ba3backed Yes | 12c | 112.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana dip to $70 March 30-April 5?this page
- Will Solana dip to $10 March 30-April 5?No won
- Will Solana dip to $50 March 30-April 5?No won
- Will Solana dip to $60 March 30-April 5?No won
- Will Solana reach $100 March 30-April 5?No won
- Will Solana reach $110 March 30-April 5?No won
- Will Solana reach $90 March 30-April 5?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.