TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Mets vs. Braves

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bravesof Mets, Braves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$150,547
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$167,523

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,547 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9708…925bbacked Mets44c68,374$30,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,032.7816643.4%72 W · 94 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Braves56c39,659$22,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,457.8186751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98b1…d855backed Braves50c14,000$6,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,008.243531.4%11 W · 24 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-33.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Braves56c10,220$5,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,491.131,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Mets49c8,122$3,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,990.72,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Braves56c7,202$4,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,168.7699149.9%495 W · 496 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Braves24c6,984$1,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,284.6697950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa365…d26ebacked Mets39c5,454$2,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,112.5214052.9%74 W · 66 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x348a…9dd0backed Mets45c4,299$1,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,937.993056.7%17 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Braves57c3,900$2,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6771,35850.8%690 W · 668 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Braves58c3,531$2,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,487.899,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Braves55c3,488$1,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,553.992,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad8c…f563backed Mets40c2,815$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.6525835.3%91 W · 167 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Braves62c2,360$1,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.940547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Braves56c2,186$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.9437446.8%175 W · 199 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28bc…e520backed Braves55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90027953.4%149 W · 130 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x03cd…9fdabacked Mets45c1,994$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.2931346.6%146 W · 167 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Braves55c1,885$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.2260451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Mets56c1,829$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.6654941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Braves56c1,820$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.81,92253.4%1,027 W · 895 L+28.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Braves28c1,786$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.7195930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a06…1e43backed Mets40c1,502$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6009920.2%20 W · 79 L-12.4wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-41.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x23a8…7f02backed Mets44c1,306$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.041241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Braves56c1,159$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.0465549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcce…136abacked Mets44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50029240.8%119 W · 173 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Braves31c1,125$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.181,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Braves57c1,012$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.125550.6%129 W · 126 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Mets45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Mets20c914.3$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.552542.5%223 W · 302 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Mets44c799.99$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35233852.1%176 W · 162 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Braves54c744.05$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.261,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9304…f693backed Braves38c727.69$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.768530.6%26 W · 59 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Braves24c617.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.121,21540.5%492 W · 723 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ab…d681backed Mets46c608.7$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28074356.9%423 W · 320 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Braves55c575.62$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.0373352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Mets67c506.58$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.8768769.6%478 W · 209 L+60.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Mets43c499.99$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21571751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Mets45c499.95$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.9851151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Mets40c459.6$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.2717744.1%78 W · 99 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd59…c3a5backed Braves51c441.25$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.2513450%67 W · 67 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x45db…51c6backed Mets75c435.24$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.434748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+57.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf094…6fd5backed Mets46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003650%18 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadb7…2983backed Mets44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Mets59c379.98$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.9217754.8%97 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Braves55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6438455.7%214 W · 170 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc076…3303backed Braves66c348.48$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.483243.8%14 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Braves57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12995950.1%480 W · 479 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Mets44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13213555.6%75 W · 60 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2f1…bd6abacked Mets44c261.36$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1157042.9%30 W · 40 L-8.4wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-19.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x051d…6980backed Braves56c243.54$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.1620343.8%89 W · 114 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Mets37c227.86$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.3996133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf96d…81f0backed Braves74c224.07$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.073231.3%10 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Mets45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f32…1532backed Mets45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4583…0bb9backed Braves54c221.95$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.112552.8%66 W · 59 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b05…48f2backed Mets45c220.53$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Mets45c220$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9920450.5%103 W · 101 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mets46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Braves7c200$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1865053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Braves55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903,30346.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x385a…08d1backed Mets40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804626.1%12 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa075…09fdbacked Mets54c185.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224b…f6b8backed Braves52c115$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.6520954.5%114 W · 95 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4a7f…4cd8backed Mets45c111.84$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.614938.8%19 W · 30 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-28%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0bbd…606cbacked Mets45c111$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.959237%34 W · 58 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5532…c6dbbacked Mets44c109.52$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1919449%95 W · 99 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Braves55c109.09$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0918951.3%97 W · 92 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Braves33c105$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.286,30548.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L+181.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x860b…a80fbacked Mets69c100.51$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692365.2%15 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick67cpaid+7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31db…79a4backed Mets45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4515644.9%70 W · 86 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x95ec…4b7ebacked Mets50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5038743.2%167 W · 220 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8af…4900backed Mets43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1624444.3%108 W · 136 L-8.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Mets45c99.28$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.481,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Mets74c94.64$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7047348.8%231 W · 242 L-22.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1df4…0fe8backed Mets44c90.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408257.3%47 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5241…f648backed Braves56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.299747.4%46 W · 51 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Braves40c88.55$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.54,18750.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L+94.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Braves56c86$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.842,05053.8%1,103 W · 947 L+33.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a74…3193backed Mets74c85.16$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f48…c6adbacked Mets45c84.93$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.48633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02c7…3df7backed Mets44c83.91$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1555152.5%289 W · 262 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Mets43c82.67$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.551,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe0…9f03backed Mets49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4050%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Mets44c80.27$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.641,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Braves48c74.4$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.861,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a1a…8697backed Braves56c71.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.564100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+98.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x80fc…c14fbacked Mets44c68.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016241.4%67 W · 95 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f19…72d9backed Braves54c65$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.941649%204 W · 212 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb130…6ee2backed Mets44c63.36$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8812249.2%60 W · 62 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d76…fc5ebacked Mets45c61.76$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.79475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+45.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1994…e445backed Mets46c61.59$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.33425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-45.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Mets45c60$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2712451.6%64 W · 60 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a14…da4abacked Mets44c59.55$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.22360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Braves53c59.32$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.885,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x743f…47e9backed Braves57c59.12$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.422142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeed1…d086backed Mets44c55.45$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.37655.3%42 W · 34 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb03…5ae4backed Mets80c50$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4019566.2%129 W · 66 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc676…f35cbacked Mets46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2325550.2%128 W · 127 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1647…02cfbacked Braves55c49.95$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.483100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Mets43c48.97$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0643542.1%183 W · 252 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.