TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x860b…a80f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
79
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NFL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 57 out of 100; worst Boxing at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2025, EDT2564%16 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick62cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$56
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$20.37
Islanders vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+37.1%+$37.08
Red Wings vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$154
Flames vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Sharks vs. Predatorsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$17.35
Ducks vs. Panthersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$23.53
Penguins vs. Sabresbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST+39.5%+$92.86
Sharks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST+26.8%+$49.76
Canucks vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2025, EST+61.3%+$56.42
Lightning vs. Penguinsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST+75.4%+$25.73
Islanders vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$30.02
Canucks vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2025, EST+53.8%+$10.51
Flames vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST-100%-$19.5
Capitals vs. Sabresbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$132.13
Penguins vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+44.9%+$40.96
Bruins vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+69.5%+$37.38
Rangers vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+61.3%+$20.44
Penguins vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+53.8%+$10.51
Red Wings vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST-100%-$54.33
Predators vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+85.2%+$53.06
Bruins vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+72.4%+$26.16
Predators vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+85.2%+$16.62
Blues vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+37.5%+$43.25
Blue Jackets vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+40.8%+$28.17
All 25 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT2365.2%15 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick67cpaid+7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.81
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.79
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.59
New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.67
Detroit Tigers vs. Athleticsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$53
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$26.26
Boston Red Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$125.66
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$13.96
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$16.55
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Metsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$60.18
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$823Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$823.41
Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$131.11
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.49
Dodgers vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$9.04
Diamondbacks vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$14.4
Cardinals vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$12.11
Astros vs. Bravesbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$11.52
Royals vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$16.16
Astros vs. Blue Jaysbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.4
Dodgers vs. Rockiesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Mets vs. Bravesbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$69
Angels vs. Yankeesbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$20.57
White Sox vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$11.82
All 23 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST6100%6 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+42.9%+$20.57
Rams vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+35.1%+$6.39
Vikings vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST+53.8%+$32.22
Buccaneers vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST+96.1%+$54.42
Falcons vs. Raidersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST+42.9%+$20.69
Patriots vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+37.2%+$13.09
All 6 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-33.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$26.82
Suns vs. Jazzbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST+38.9%+$9.85
Kings vs. Pelicansbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST+29.9%+$5.83
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+54.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF América win on 2026-08-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$15.25
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-08-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$26.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ponzinibbio vs. Harrisbacked Ponzinibbio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+75.4%+$14.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Estoril Open: Frederico Ferreira Silva vs Luca Van Asschebacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$781Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$271.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford backed Canelo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.