College Football · resolved market
Georgia Southern vs. Fresno State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d2414a945f891e5627d5d245f950580e79b9aea39d71fc9509fcef91d52e191
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fresno Stateof Georgia Southern, Fresno State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Fresno State | 51c | 6,747$3,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,306.03 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Georgia Southern | 49c | 6,500$3,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,185 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Fresno State | 60c | 4,760$2,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,888.5 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Georgia Southern | 48c | 4,209$2,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020.87 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Fresno State | 49c | 2,245$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Georgia Southern | 51c | 2,164$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.15 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Georgia Southern | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Fresno State | 52c | 1,832$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.54 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Fresno State | 48c | 1,656$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.59 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Georgia Southern | 52c | 1,591$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.21 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Georgia Southern | 50c | 1,452$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Fresno State | 53c | 1,114$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.38 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Fresno State | 50c | 1,091$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.59 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Fresno State | 51c | 962.65$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.7 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -6.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Georgia Southern | 51c | 884$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.84 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Fresno State | 46c | 812.97$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.94 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Fresno State | 50c | 721$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.12 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Georgia Southern | 2c | 665.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc567…04bfbacked Georgia Southern | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Georgia Southern | 8c | 600$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Georgia Southern | 49c | 509.98$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.29 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Georgia Southern | 53c | 490.66$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.05 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa805…83dcbacked Georgia Southern | 46c | 400$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 102 | 20.6%21 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Fresno State | 62c | 392.55$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.13 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Georgia Southern | 49c | 350.41$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.7 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Georgia Southern | 49c | 325$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.8 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…2a64backed Georgia Southern | 25c | 268.01$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bae…2e92backed Georgia Southern | 44c | 266.03$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.08 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Fresno State | 42c | 225$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.5 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Fresno State | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 94 | 20.2%19 W · 75 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Fresno State | 49c | 183.27$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.47 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Georgia Southern | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…1d65backed Fresno State | 54c | 173.35$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.39 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 58cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Fresno State | 47c | 160.42$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.32 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Fresno State | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 209 | 50.2%105 W · 104 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Fresno State | 58c | 135.86$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.55 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Fresno State | 52c | 133.06$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.82 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Fresno State | 52c | 128.35$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.61 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Fresno State | 58c | 127.95$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.67 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…af05backed Georgia Southern | 54c | 103$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Georgia Southern | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Georgia Southern | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Fresno State | 57c | 92.57$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.98 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Fresno State | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Fresno State | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Georgia Southern | 43c | 52.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Fresno State | 49c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Georgia Southern | 53c | 42.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Fresno State | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9355…eab4backed Fresno State | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Fresno State | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…5b12backed Georgia Southern | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…17c8backed Fresno State | 52c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x860b…a80fbacked Fresno State | 77c | 26.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…a240backed Fresno State | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Georgia Southern | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.