NHL · resolved market
Red Wings vs. Lightning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4dccc1bc3cdbb7454cd17470f6577f1c5727bfe36efb43e8493c4a559afe97a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Wingsof Red Wings, Lightning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,816
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,150
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,816 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Red Wings | 28c | 13,492$3,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,730.65 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Lightning | 73c | 7,784$5,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,682.32 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Red Wings | 28c | 4,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,879.98 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Red Wings | 27c | 3,471$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,533.83 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Lightning | 72c | 2,572$1,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,851.53 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Lightning | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Red Wings | 19c | 1,941$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580.41 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Lightning | 72c | 1,810$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.03 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Lightning | 71c | 1,721$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.5 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x350d…a3d2backed Lightning | 71c | 1,620$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Lightning | 72c | 1,600$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.88 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc5…ba19backed Red Wings | 29c | 1,600$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Lightning | 80c | 1,523$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.07 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Lightning | 76c | 1,453$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.09 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Lightning | 71c | 1,275$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.72 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…58f1backed Lightning | 65c | 1,234$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0317…6289backed Lightning | 61c | 1,211$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.93 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Lightning | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Lightning | 73c | 937.27$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.14 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Red Wings | 39c | 805.57$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.88 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Lightning | 72c | 722.98$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.55 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Red Wings | 27c | 719.14$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.97 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Red Wings | 45c | 673.91$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.91 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Red Wings | 24c | 672.03$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.74 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Red Wings | 23c | 610.71$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.71 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Red Wings | 27c | 604.85$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.52 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lightning | 61c | 555.76$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.65 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Red Wings | 26c | 404.96$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.67 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36db…9fd7backed Lightning | 72c | 349.97$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.48 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf3…8bd3backed Red Wings | 29c | 310.34$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.34 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked Red Wings | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.14 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +13.2wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Red Wings | 20c | 298.01$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.01 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Lightning | 72c | 285.71$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.71 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Red Wings | 23c | 250$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.5 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Red Wings | 15c | 219.42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.51 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Lightning | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860b…a80fbacked Lightning | 74c | 208.11$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Lightning | 71c | 200$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 165 | 54.5%90 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Lightning | 73c | 200$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…ddd4backed Lightning | 73c | 200$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Red Wings | 29c | 199.82$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…0a26backed Red Wings | 30c | 175.8$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.06 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…465dbacked Red Wings | 30c | 172.9$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.03 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Red Wings | 23c | 168$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.36 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…9e6dbacked Red Wings | 30c | 165.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.86 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Red Wings | 27c | 160.25$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.98 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Red Wings | 37c | 149.88$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.88 | 106 | 38.7%41 W · 65 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…021fbacked Lightning | 72c | 147.26$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.03 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…7ff6backed Red Wings | 28c | 146.43$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.43 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 40cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd33b…4e00backed Red Wings | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.86 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00e…884cbacked Lightning | 71c | 140$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b74…2bc1backed Red Wings | 29c | 140$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8896…7d78backed Lightning | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 71.4%50 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…7726backed Lightning | 61c | 137.9$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.54 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Lightning | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a65…e883backed Lightning | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 69cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d7…e1f8backed Lightning | 72c | 136.11$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Red Wings | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…0775backed Lightning | 71c | 127$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.17 | 208 | 61.5%128 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Lightning | 73c | 116$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.68 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc164…f4c0backed Lightning | 73c | 104.11$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed1d…8707backed Lightning | 73c | 102$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.46 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Lightning | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…0245backed Red Wings | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd132…2cb5backed Red Wings | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Red Wings | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 140 | 12.9%18 W · 122 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34df…8949backed Lightning | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Red Wings | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 600 | 42.8%257 W · 343 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f5…9c9cbacked Red Wings | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x967e…0006backed Red Wings | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa387…912dbacked Lightning | 72c | 97.22$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Lightning | 71c | 88.32$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.71 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Red Wings | 32c | 83.53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.8 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33ca…1e80backed Lightning | 72c | 80$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4743…f0bebacked Red Wings | 29c | 77.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.45 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ac…0ac3backed Lightning | 72c | 76.49$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc307…3012backed Lightning | 72c | 76.39$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…f409backed Lightning | 72c | 74.22$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.44 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…842dbacked Lightning | 69c | 74$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3a…772ebacked Red Wings | 31c | 74$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4736…9f44backed Lightning | 72c | 73.57$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.97 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Lightning | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 979 | 55.5%543 W · 436 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2318…25cfbacked Lightning | 72c | 73.39$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6e…aa28backed Lightning | 73c | 72.14$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa62e…4addbacked Lightning | 72c | 71.11$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc647…1f6bbacked Red Wings | 30c | 70.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…6503backed Lightning | 72c | 69.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.39 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Lightning | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa579…0b16backed Lightning | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a74…5c6ebacked Lightning | 71c | 69.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Lightning | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b2…7c50backed Lightning | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6c…1cd8backed Lightning | 72c | 68.06$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb54e…2afdbacked Lightning | 72c | 66.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.76 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeaa…a22ebacked Lightning | 72c | 65.72$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.32 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…3917backed Red Wings | 29c | 65.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.52 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9c…503bbacked Lightning | 61c | 65.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x109b…9556backed Lightning | 72c | 64.51$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.45 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…afbfbacked Lightning | 73c | 64.38$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc8…1a55backed Red Wings | 28c | 64.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.29 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.