TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9fc8…1a55

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
57
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Premier League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 58 out of 100; worst Champions League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2025, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$52
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$56
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Senators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
Canadiens vs. Capitalsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$22.62
Wild vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$35
Devils vs. Hurricanesbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Stars vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$30.22
Ducks vs. Jetsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Utah vs. Bluesbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Maple Leafs vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Blue Jackets vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$59
Maple Leafs vs. Hurricanesbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$39.79
Canadiens vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Sabres vs. Panthersbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Sharks vs. Oilersbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Red Wings vs. Lightningbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$46.29
All 18 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2025, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockies vs. Redsbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$26.71
Guardians vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.5
Guardians vs. Cubsbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Royals vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$18
Phillies vs. Marlinsbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$24.52
Giants vs. Rockiesbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$35
Marlins vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$12.71
Twins vs. Athleticsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$24.47
Rockies vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
Tigers vs. Royalsbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Rockies vs. Cubsbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Yankees vs. Angelsbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$37
Yankees vs. Rockiesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+37%+$19.97
Mets vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$19.09
Orioles vs. Angelsbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$21.5
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.16
Bulls vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.62
Bucks vs. Heatbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Nuggets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+69.8%+$41.2
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$78
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+68.6%+$40.85
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$62
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$71
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Raptors vs. Mavericksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2025, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.45per pick35cpaid+179.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 19, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis vs. Real Sociedad end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$32.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.