Premier League · resolved market
Will Brighton vs. Leicester end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1478a8ec5577201816d2c323f39d6aedd5299322f57228ca8d7216706ee50b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,589
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,226
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,589 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 29c | 6,418$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,831.82 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 74c | 4,641$3,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.71 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 69c | 3,006$2,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,068.96 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 15c | 2,315$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,977.43 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 59c | 1,750$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.58 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 16c | 1,470$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.7 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 16c | 1,298$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.9 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Yes | 74c | 1,229$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.49 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c7…053ebacked Yes | 14c | 800$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…58f1backed Yes | 59c | 674.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.97 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…af8cbacked Yes | 17c | 593.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.18 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480c…81f2backed Yes | 18c | 547.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.37 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 29c | 517.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.24 | 172 | 34.3%59 W · 113 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Yes | 61c | 492.47$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.14 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcc…5b93backed Yes | 19c | 439.46$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.96 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Yes | 29c | 310.34$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.34 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ff…b701backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.12 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1184…2391backed Yes | 55c | 242.11$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.11 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 16c | 239.11$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.89 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9968…a104backed Yes | 58c | 218.83$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.91 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 36c | 193.87$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.21 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f95…9bd4backed Yes | 76c | 193.24$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.16 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked No | 45c | 155.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed Yes | 63c | 150$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes | 34c | 118.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.46 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc8…1a55backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.45per pick | 35cpaid | +179.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c37…4e9bbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 75c | 80$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Yes | 49c | 71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Yes | 62c | 71$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +16.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Yes | 39c | 58.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.33 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Yes | 65c | 58.08$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ed…7aeabacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2333…c1f2backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca82…e838backed Yes | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…a9bebacked Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brighton vs. Leicester end in a draw?this page
- Will Brighton win on 2025-04-12?No won
- Will Leicester win on 2025-04-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.