TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Brighton win on 2025-04-12?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$157,779
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$161,982

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,779 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x18d2…81e0backed Yes77c48,927$37,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,639.32646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked No23c21,873$5,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,841.4611454.4%62 W · 52 L+8.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes11c21,330$2,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,330.7279650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No23c10,000$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,649.9830851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked No23c9,670$2,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,445.6813857.2%79 W · 59 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No19c8,158$1,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,614.9479639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e0…1dd2backed No23c7,734$1,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,955.026953.6%37 W · 32 L+7.7wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+27.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No24c5,500$1,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,15541437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe626…2fe6backed Yes77c5,015$3,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,861.374264.3%27 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc8f…a7bbbacked Yes78c4,546$3,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,545.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes78c3,426$2,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,672.0532158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes75c3,228$2,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,426.421,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed No73c3,047$2,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.263658.3%21 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes77c2,597$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0007341.1%30 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x04f2…6fe4backed Yes71c2,532$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.642755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes77c2,404$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,85012053.3%64 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No23c2,088$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,607.7683459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed No23c1,836$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.121445.8%98 W · 116 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No25c1,300$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.0132037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd574…425dbacked Yes79c1,251$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.473046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No18c1,203$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.0537652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No13c1,078$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.6138645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes76c1,000$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76444939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ca3…48a9backed No20c932.23$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.521163.6%7 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.29per pick35cpaid+66.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes78c853.85$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66614156.7%80 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb377…f621backed Yes75c852.47$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.354143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Yes76c748.34$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.745358.5%31 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x75aa…58f1backed Yes41c731.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-34.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4d6…d683backed Yes76c657.88$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.99728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-53.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes78c500$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39021153.1%112 W · 99 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Yes75c500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37511761.5%72 W · 45 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x25eb…8ce7backed No22c443.05$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.5817447.7%83 W · 91 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c43…b289backed Yes15c400$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6112149.6%60 W · 61 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+95.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xae36…8fb5backed Yes7c391.29$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.333537.1%13 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfb49…43febacked Yes77c389$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.537963.3%50 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No24c376$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.9252060.4%314 W · 206 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9968…a104backed Yes65c373.29$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.791154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick60cpaid+26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2033…3863backed No25c319$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.25728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbc3…8769backed Yes68c313.87$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-45.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd3a…0898backed No24c312.5$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.5933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Yes67c299.15$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011052.7%58 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f95…9bd4backed Yes36c290.1$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.452263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed No25c276.88$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.6614953.7%80 W · 69 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Yes78c256.41$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011855.1%65 W · 53 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes78c256.41$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013449.3%66 W · 68 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed No23c240$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.618752.9%99 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No22c199.99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.9914754.4%80 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa940…59bebacked Yes78c192.06$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.81837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No23c168.76$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.9517745.8%81 W · 96 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No35c167.69$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10956453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Yes77c160$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.414945%67 W · 82 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86dc…94a1backed No29c149.99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.491145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+52.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd35d…3ee3backed Yes78c141.03$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa756…48b3backed Yes74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-28.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes78c128.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No27c120$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.340135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd47…8277backed Yes66c114.41$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.519949.5%49 W · 50 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked No23c109$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.937839.7%31 W · 47 L+15.6wins+0.20per pick20cpaid+437.8%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x4946…e041backed No75c108.07$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.025742.1%24 W · 33 L-8.9wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-28.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x224b…f6b8backed Yes76c105$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.85653.6%30 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Yes75c100$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe06c…62aebacked No35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659355.9%52 W · 41 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c37…4e9bbacked Yes77c99.97$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.982552%13 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed No12c96$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.466051.7%31 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd71…c879backed Yes78c88.95$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.38714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick43cpaid-81.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d7e…a7b0backed Yes74c84$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.16250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33dc…415ebacked No24c80$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.28334.9%29 W · 54 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No23c78$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.0659958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Yes78c76.92$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020958.9%123 W · 86 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes77c64.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507061.4%43 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes78c64.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5042755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec89…3286backed Yes74c54.05$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4017146.8%80 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x30d6…9ca0backed Yes77c51.95$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409750.5%49 W · 48 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fa3…072dbacked No26c44.76$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.135558.2%32 W · 23 L+8.0wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+23%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf2ce…bca1backed Yes67c37.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+37%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1413…4bddbacked Yes78c35.9$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2820059.5%119 W · 81 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9544…f3fbbacked Yes78c32.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a5b…162cbacked Yes78c32.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Yes78c32.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514057.9%81 W · 59 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4508…9134backed Yes64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fbc…176bbacked Yes71c28.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe947…2cf3backed Yes76c26.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010154.5%55 W · 46 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xeb5b…69ebbacked Yes77c25.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014441%59 W · 85 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf683…c2bcbacked Yes78c25.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe02e…88d5backed Yes77c20.78$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc0c…04cbbacked Yes76c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1875%6 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa969…1452backed Yes78c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick69cpaid-34.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1bae…4081backed Yes78c19.23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x457c…ecedbacked Yes76c17.74$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4820%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca82…e838backed Yes78c17.09$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.331369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f9f…e9cdbacked Yes72c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.75540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.