MLB · resolved market
Guardians vs. Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4dcb5e5a85bafa6121918cd7902b6c28df0c474a2f45be0b8ffad75dfaf39605
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guardiansof Guardians, Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $653,564
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $658,989
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $653,564 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 262 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Guardians | 48c | 366,264$174,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191,498.58 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Astros | 52c | 99,492$51,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,765.39 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Astros | 54c | 81,535$43,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,982.46 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Astros | 52c | 66,739$34,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,704.04 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Astros | 53c | 38,680$20,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,306.78 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Astros | 52c | 30,000$15,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,600 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Astros | 41c | 17,415$7,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,137.37 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Astros | 52c | 17,266$8,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,978.2 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Astros | 50c | 12,000$6,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000.84 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Astros | 54c | 10,000$5,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,439.99 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c32…99c0backed Astros | 61c | 9,996$6,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,097.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b80…ad84backed Guardians | 39c | 9,995$3,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,096.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Astros | 42c | 9,509$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Astros | 54c | 9,325$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7225…293abacked Guardians | 50c | 7,881$3,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,970.18 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Guardians | 43c | 6,610$2,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,774.98 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Astros | 56c | 6,094$3,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,435.46 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b0…6815backed Astros | 50c | 6,049$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -5.0wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Astros | 53c | 4,408$2,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,317.15 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Guardians | 43c | 4,109$1,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,330.75 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Astros | 26c | 3,884$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Astros | 55c | 3,623$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001.7 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Guardians | 45c | 3,560$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,958 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Astros | 50c | 3,326$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.12 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Astros | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Guardians | 45c | 2,932$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.72 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Guardians | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…ff8cbacked Astros | 32c | 2,457$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.53 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x269e…47aebacked Guardians | 39c | 2,370$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 44cpaid | +132.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda71…db66backed Astros | 17c | 2,303$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35fd…df8fbacked Astros | 60c | 2,108$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Astros | 57c | 2,089$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.7 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd32…33c4backed Astros | 42c | 2,020$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.39 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.4wins | -0.31per pick | 53cpaid | -66%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Astros | 29c | 1,961$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.13 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6189…1416backed Guardians | 40c | 1,900$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff0…4074backed Guardians | 40c | 1,900$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Astros | 36c | 1,897$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.66 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Guardians | 44c | 1,807$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.12 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa053…cf80backed Astros | 60c | 1,692$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Astros | 13c | 1,632$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.72 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Astros | 58c | 1,600$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.98 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Astros | 54c | 1,580$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.2 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Astros | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Astros | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Astros | 34c | 1,380$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.2 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Astros | 56c | 1,342$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.17 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x881c…25fdbacked Astros | 61c | 1,311$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Astros | 21c | 1,142$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcedc…7351backed Guardians | 40c | 1,140$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf273…6116backed Astros | 60c | 1,140$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Guardians | 44c | 1,140$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.74 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Astros | 53c | 1,137$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.98 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf513…8297backed Guardians | 46c | 1,125$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.57 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Astros | 51c | 1,111$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.03 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Guardians | 40c | 1,103$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.99 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Guardians | 44c | 1,082$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.41 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Astros | 53c | 1,080$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.4 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb7…45debacked Astros | 61c | 1,059$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Astros | 52c | 1,056$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.24 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Astros | 54c | 1,019$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Guardians | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…cac8backed Astros | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Guardians | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Guardians | 39c | 999.99$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.99 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Astros | 58c | 862$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.96 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Guardians | 71c | 815.81$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.1 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Astros | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…e2e8backed Guardians | 77c | 758.73$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.51 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Guardians | 45c | 744.17$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.85 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Astros | 56c | 700$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Astros | 60c | 699.98$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.49 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…fde7backed Astros | 59c | 681.82$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Guardians | 75c | 666.66$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.66 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Astros | 38c | 660.67$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Guardians | 38c | 657.36$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.27 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Guardians | 42c | 637.98$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.01 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…cbbbbacked Astros | 55c | 631.64$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -81%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Astros | 53c | 625.83$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.59 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Guardians | 40c | 621$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.6 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…35dcbacked Guardians | 44c | 617$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7284…49f7backed Astros | 55c | 598.96$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.43 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…834cbacked Guardians | 45c | 589$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.95 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44c4…501bbacked Astros | 55c | 580.67$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.37 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8468…10c2backed Astros | 41c | 574.44$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.52 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Astros | 54c | 555$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.7 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Astros | 58c | 537.93$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Guardians | 42c | 522.3$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.51 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Guardians | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Astros | 27c | 481$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.44 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…76c1backed Astros | 55c | 439.98$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.99 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -16.8wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Astros | 51c | 438.68$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Astros | 57c | 420$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Guardians | 39c | 400$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked Astros | 54c | 399.97$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.98 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Guardians | 42c | 392.48$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.55 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Astros | 52c | 391.77$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.72 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Guardians | 45c | 390.29$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.66 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Guardians | 53c | 373.17$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.9 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked Astros | 62c | 372.5$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.95 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Astros | 54c | 372$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.88 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.