NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Pacers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5a8c8931595dfa5aa483bca08c0e114017f2002e32c993480c7e7b29dda2db0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Bucks, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $709,936
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $682,856
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $709,936 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 774 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb100…6461backed Bucks | 3c | 49,459$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.91 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Bucks | 3c | 42,612$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.34 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…d5c8backed Pacers | 67c | 36,410$24,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,958.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Bucks | 34c | 34,165$11,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,732.2 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa988…5fd1backed Bucks | 33c | 30,740$10,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,144.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Bucks | 35c | 29,449$10,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,259.87 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pacers | 76c | 29,300$22,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,092.92 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6187…f8a0backed Bucks | 2c | 26,769$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.74 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13cb…f258backed Bucks | 6c | 22,662$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.45 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Pacers | 67c | 22,000$14,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,259.85 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad5…ac2ebacked Bucks | 5c | 21,494$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Bucks | 33c | 18,477$6,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,082.26 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Pacers | 68c | 18,065$12,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,871.17 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1d…bb61backed Bucks | 4c | 16,336$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.27 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Pacers | 67c | 15,630$10,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,115.92 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Bucks | 10c | 12,217$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.66 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Bucks | 33c | 11,650$3,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,792.25 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Pacers | 66c | 11,581$7,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,927.84 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0317…6289backed Bucks | 25c | 11,487$2,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,845.07 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Bucks | 1c | 11,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed Bucks | 6c | 10,730$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.59 | 407 | 26%106 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Bucks | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bucks | 33c | 9,981$3,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,293.86 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pacers | 65c | 9,860$6,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,451 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Pacers | 65c | 9,163$5,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,208.23 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Pacers | 69c | 8,168$5,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,525.07 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Bucks | 2c | 7,838$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.94 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…dcafbacked Pacers | 67c | 7,776$5,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,566.07 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Pacers | 78c | 7,476$5,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622.25 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Bucks | 5c | 6,494$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Pacers | 66c | 5,762$3,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960.56 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa355…b1fabacked Bucks | 32c | 5,670$1,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,814.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e3…9c9bbacked Bucks | 1c | 5,028$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pacers | 67c | 5,000$3,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668.46 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Bucks | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Bucks | 0c | 5,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Bucks | 32c | 4,700$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.99 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Pacers | 65c | 4,158$2,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.18 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Bucks | 1c | 4,100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 424 | 34.4%146 W · 278 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Bucks | 33c | 3,924$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Pacers | 68c | 3,650$2,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Pacers | 67c | 3,484$2,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.72 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Bucks | 30c | 3,100$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed Bucks | 21c | 3,000$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe973…7338backed Pacers | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98fd…b575backed Bucks | 33c | 2,977$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.41 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Bucks | 26c | 2,947$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.57 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed Bucks | 33c | 2,896$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.7 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…d81bbacked Bucks | 34c | 2,625$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.5 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ee…21f7backed Bucks | 19c | 2,605$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed Bucks | 34c | 2,500$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Bucks | 15c | 2,400$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.1 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Bucks | 29c | 2,059$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Bucks | 10c | 2,049$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Bucks | 33c | 2,030$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.17 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Bucks | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bucks | 33c | 2,000$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.8 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Bucks | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Pacers | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Pacers | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.98 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…6bf5backed Bucks | 3c | 1,968$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.17 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pacers | 73c | 1,818$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.1 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Pacers | 68c | 1,765$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.71 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Pacers | 68c | 1,753$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.7 | 165 | 63.6%105 W · 60 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Pacers | 67c | 1,662$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.38 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Bucks | 1c | 1,650$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Bucks | 2c | 1,600$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Bucks | 33c | 1,574$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.44 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x965f…f167backed Pacers | 66c | 1,554$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.34 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4eb…161fbacked Bucks | 34c | 1,552$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.68 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Bucks | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Bucks | 1c | 1,505$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Bucks | 33c | 1,500$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.66 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…b10bbacked Pacers | 69c | 1,500$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Pacers | 67c | 1,301$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.41 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Pacers | 66c | 1,272$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.64 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Bucks | 32c | 1,200$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Pacers | 67c | 1,194$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.03 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Bucks | 6c | 1,119$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf83…b988backed Bucks | 3c | 1,116$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Bucks | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Pacers | 69c | 999.55$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.86 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Bucks | 5c | 993.28$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Bucks | 32c | 948.22$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.43 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Pacers | 68c | 926.42$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.45 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36db…9fd7backed Bucks | 21c | 910.91$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.97 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Pacers | 72c | 909.09$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.09 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…49a2backed Pacers | 66c | 846.96$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.97 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc030…7372backed Bucks | 34c | 846.96$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.97 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a44…e4e8backed Bucks | 3c | 800$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4874…7123backed Pacers | 66c | 786.35$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.36 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1c…2b46backed Bucks | 34c | 786.35$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.36 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Pacers | 67c | 785.94$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.36 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Pacers | 67c | 783.15$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.44 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aad…4e00backed Bucks | 26c | 782.08$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Bucks | 3c | 771.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +121.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…3850backed Bucks | 29c | 740.99$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.25 | 243 | 36.2%88 W · 155 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fdc…b39bbacked Bucks | 34c | 731.6$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7425…c079backed Pacers | 66c | 680.29$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.3 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea11…551abacked Bucks | 34c | 680.29$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.3 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.