TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Ducks vs. Jets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jetsof Ducks, Jets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$116,438
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$120,163

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,438 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 274 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7873…5acebacked Ducks29c36,278$10,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,520.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca29…8358backed Jets71c30,220$21,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,763.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2db7…56cdbacked Jets71c10,002$7,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,900.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcaef…d9f3backed Jets71c9,999$7,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,899.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a2f…bff3backed Ducks29c9,998$2,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,899.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c55…a357backed Ducks29c9,994$2,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,898.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb7…d83abacked Jets71c6,058$4,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,756.82333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0d9…da5ebacked Jets75c4,020$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.75742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Ducks29c3,000$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85524546.1%113 W · 132 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7709…5852backed Ducks17c2,942$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005334%18 W · 35 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Jets74c2,797$2,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.127958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Ducks27c2,655$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.7437738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Jets56c2,304$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.944848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8377…4198backed Ducks44c2,300$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0123271.9%23 W · 9 L+6.2wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+32.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Ducks25c1,844$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.9349351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Jets66c1,841$1,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.681,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Jets68c1,792$1,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.763,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Jets72c1,733$1,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.0297651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Ducks26c1,523$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.9116645.8%76 W · 90 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed Ducks27c1,481$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-53.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf09…651fbacked Jets72c1,380$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.82862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2873…fc1cbacked Ducks29c1,375$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.76520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-67.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Ducks25c1,355$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.739752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Ducks28c1,300$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.3951044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Ducks43c1,001$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.1136242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Jets74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26037254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x745c…40d9backed Ducks29c700$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Ducks31c689.54$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.811,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Ducks32c627.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014844.6%66 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Jets72c613.85$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.0184051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Ducks28c590.11$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.8620649.5%102 W · 104 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Ducks28c568.6$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.2129748.8%145 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa99c…3070backed Ducks18c557.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029319.8%58 W · 235 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36db…9fd7backed Ducks27c549.94$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.4811751.3%60 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1f7…c4e5backed Ducks30c519.16$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1557459.5%44 W · 30 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x265d…5329backed Ducks31c516.13$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601850%9 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce02…f887backed Jets76c471.36$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.136956.5%39 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca22…96ecbacked Jets72c419.33$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.334100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+101.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Ducks27c412.96$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.510627.4%29 W · 77 L-8.9wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-22.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Jets76c403.1$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.591,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d92…a53bbacked Jets75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9caf…94dcbacked Jets75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-43.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Jets65c394.14$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.3591334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Ducks29c354.87$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.6260741%249 W · 358 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Jets73c331.72$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.562369.6%16 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x530f…8714backed Ducks27c324.37$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.58933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac0d…0ed4backed Jets72c323.04$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.451866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8896…7d78backed Jets71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.697071.4%50 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Ducks26c280$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.86850%34 W · 34 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Ducks29c274.51$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.61,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cae…4e88backed Jets73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.97333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf012…c29dbacked Ducks30c264.96$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38f…931bbacked Ducks30c253.33$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6ac…957dbacked Jets77c206.68$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.564650%23 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2c4…a40abacked Jets74c202.7$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.73154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43a8…e097backed Ducks27c191.85$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.82356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0a6…2ab9backed Ducks27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509755.7%54 W · 43 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2388…a491backed Ducks27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-52%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56bf…a376backed Ducks30c183.33$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ef6…88debacked Jets71c174.63$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09c0…5b10backed Ducks30c168.63$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.591361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1738…aaf6backed Jets74c161.14$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.91838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8cf9…6503backed Ducks30c157.47$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.24862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Jets70c153.9$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1713754%74 W · 63 L+9.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe2d9…36e6backed Jets70c149.99$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ab…5347backed Ducks29c142.34$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.28825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-47.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Jets73c137.01$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.011,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Jets74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.141,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa177…6e84backed Jets74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.141662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9448…be98backed Jets74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1415470.1%108 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd724…eda0backed Jets72c135$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.81656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…6bf3backed Ducks28c135$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.81233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed Jets76c131.7$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.72045%9 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d7a…b9c7backed Jets71c128.17$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a73…2cf2backed Jets71c119.7$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3759…f714backed Ducks29c117$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe765…14d8backed Jets71c117$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef62…e491backed Jets71c115$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.35250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5a6…239dbacked Ducks29c115$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x172b…e2cdbacked Jets66c113.72$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.731752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01d7…b65fbacked Jets71c110$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa54f…d23cbacked Ducks29c110$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6672…6ec6backed Ducks30c109.5$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.851233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1dc0…1b05backed Jets71c109$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.61250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6355…43b3backed Ducks29c109$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd0…78eebacked Ducks29c105$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4473…1d29backed Jets71c105$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf323…ae3fbacked Jets71c105$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06f3…1e9abacked Ducks29c105$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a7…e26cbacked Jets73c104.62$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4a6…3278backed Jets71c104.23$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0034…c2fdbacked Jets71c104$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19f6…e7debacked Ducks29c104$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0178…31b7backed Ducks29c103$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c0a…062abacked Jets71c103$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb793…a90cbacked Ducks29c102$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd9d…9f14backed Jets71c102$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Jets72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2835154.1%190 W · 161 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36a6…52c7backed Ducks17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d46…4130backed Jets71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.