TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Tigers vs. Royals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Royalsof Tigers, Royals
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$109,675
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$100,426

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,675 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xce1f…41a9backed Royals50c28,802$14,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,543.974858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Tigers61c16,621$10,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,196.9621356.3%120 W · 93 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Tigers44c15,390$6,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,754.992,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Royals36c3,960$1,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,524.841,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcd…165cbacked Tigers53c3,154$1,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6601330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.24per pick55cpaid-30.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Tigers39c2,905$1,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,128.839,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Royals35c2,868$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,863.3676456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Tigers9c2,744$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.991,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Tigers54c2,500$1,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,34569249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xffc2…8b69backed Royals36c2,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,280742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Tigers1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Royals41c1,752$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.733943.6%17 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Royals43c1,606$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.0897950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Royals37c1,368$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.4288549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54f2…d0e3backed Royals47c1,265$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.2614951.7%77 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93dc…2c86backed Tigers64c1,156$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.84850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Royals37c1,100$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69320450.5%103 W · 101 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Tigers45c1,055$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.561,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9244…b955backed Tigers63c1,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6303250%16 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Royals35c1,000$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6501,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa329…26a2backed Tigers55c984$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5406038.3%23 W · 37 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7552…320dbacked Royals37c981$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.033743.2%16 W · 21 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-21.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1ad1…6d88backed Tigers62c849.47$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.671631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.8wins-0.24per pick55cpaid-49.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd87d…f027backed Tigers64c844$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.16728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a33…2534backed Royals36c800$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5128156.8%46 W · 35 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6407…7d12backed Royals37c675.68$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.6818247.8%87 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Royals41c611.39$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.3924844%109 W · 139 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Royals35c600$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39068656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Royals37c552.55$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.52,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked Tigers62c528.13$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.4414048.6%68 W · 72 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Tigers63c500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31542452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Royals38c500$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x399d…01dabacked Royals36c500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32011757.3%67 W · 50 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Tigers53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20080955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7703…34b9backed Royals50c360$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.89550.5%48 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Royals47c346.54$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.3540547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6979…d7a2backed Royals47c339$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.672661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x25cc…3601backed Royals36c313.6$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.7110550.5%53 W · 52 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe1d…c011backed Tigers50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15013848.6%67 W · 71 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe25e…0aa5backed Royals37c299.99$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.9914549.7%72 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Tigers68c260.93$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.4319356.5%109 W · 84 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Tigers14c257.91$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6338741.1%159 W · 228 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Tigers20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020523.4%48 W · 157 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Tigers63c245$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.8515256.6%86 W · 66 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Tigers63c238.1$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Tigers63c236.84$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61bb…e54bbacked Tigers55c231.53$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1283554.3%19 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Royals36c220.5$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.21,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60a1…a8e1backed Royals36c214.14$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.6715949.7%79 W · 80 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed Tigers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+20.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Tigers64c199.99$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1283,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58d2…46e6backed Tigers56c198$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.8830928.5%88 W · 221 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05be…d651backed Royals59c196.3$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.319849%97 W · 101 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed Royals35c188$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.6840352.4%211 W · 192 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43fd…021fbacked Royals36c181.35$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.062941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd386…1887backed Royals36c166.67$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.6719233.3%64 W · 128 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x276f…2f1fbacked Tigers64c155.08$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid+19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed Tigers17c153.04$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7543250.7%219 W · 213 L+10.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Royals37c145.19$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.475,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b40…2aa0backed Royals38c144.63$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.67560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53f9…e920backed Tigers56c143.68$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802540%10 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Royals36c140$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.649450%247 W · 247 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Tigers51c140$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.841751.3%214 W · 203 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6985…90e8backed Royals36c136.51$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.74450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10d8…b398backed Royals37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x742d…e6e2backed Royals38c126.89$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.673100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+131.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Tigers45c120$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.296133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5a4…7602backed Tigers64c120$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.84856.3%27 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb97…add3backed Tigers63c117.19$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.837142.3%30 W · 41 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9938…c7e8backed Tigers57c107.91$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5110858.3%63 W · 45 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c0e…551ebacked Tigers64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644344.2%19 W · 24 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d03…4366backed Royals37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+41.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f19…72d9backed Royals35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6541649%204 W · 212 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x89ca…5b45backed Tigers64c85.94$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557065.7%46 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e19…dbf2backed Tigers63c84.03$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.94450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe50b…6aa1backed Tigers65c81.72$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37b…cea1backed Royals37c81.16$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.13250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d9…4b80backed Tigers65c80.25$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1640%0 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x28e2…ab8fbacked Tigers65c80$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5213260.6%80 W · 52 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0765…e6e5backed Royals36c79.51$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.77580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+50.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ef6…646bbacked Royals37c77.97$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.12450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b2f…433fbacked Royals37c77.92$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.452100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+109.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea29…0b0bbacked Tigers65c77.75$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5460%0 W · 6 L-3.3wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4321…d35bbacked Tigers64c77.28$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.46540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-34.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ec4…879dbacked Tigers63c76.63$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa997…bc99backed Tigers65c75.65$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.17475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3bb…4405backed Tigers64c74.86$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.91633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-46.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd50a…3018backed Tigers63c74.33$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.83425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-57.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6901…d7b5backed Royals37c72$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.36540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc928…b4c4backed Tigers64c71.78$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.94333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfafb…d523backed Tigers65c71.74$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.63333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32f5…67e0backed Royals37c71.46$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.02540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9228…e41abacked Royals32c70$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.617732.8%58 W · 119 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06ae…6e4fbacked Royals37c68.51$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.163100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+110.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked Tigers60c66.48$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4025452.8%134 W · 120 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c53…c9b0backed Tigers45c64.44$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296425%16 W · 48 L-8.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-32.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Tigers40c64.01$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.871,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a47…a16abacked Royals37c62.16$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.164568.9%31 W · 14 L+7.3wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+35%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x9fc8…1a55backed Tigers65c61.54$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1b2…9790backed Tigers65c61.54$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.