TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcb97…add3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
99
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst UFC at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 30, 2025, EDT7142.3%30 W · 41 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 71 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$15.27
Blue Jays vs. Redsbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$15.96
Twins vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.96
Cardinals vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.44
Reds vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Giants vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$27.04
Brewers vs. Bravesbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$23.05
Rangers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+116.4%+$25.13
Dodgers vs. Raysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+100%+$45.84
Astros vs. Red Soxbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.96
Diamondbacks vs. Athleticsbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$38.14
Rangers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.87
Rays vs. Yankeesbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.97
Phillies vs. White Soxbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.65
Diamondbacks vs. Tigersbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.41
Red Sox vs. Twinsbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.31
Tigers vs. Piratesbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$111.25
Royals vs. Marlinsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+88.4%+$43.73
Royals vs. Marlinsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.25
Diamondbacks vs. Angelsbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+121.8%+$67.7
Diamondbacks vs. Angelsbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.06
Mets vs. Royalsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.65
Rockies vs. Redsbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.81
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$50.58
Diamondbacks vs. Angelsbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.52
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2025, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.22per pick40cpaid+47.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$216.62
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$48.16
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+166.6%+$51.45
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.67
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+179.4%+$81.51
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.42
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+151%+$106.44
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+71.1%+$72.37
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.52
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.74
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+65%+$31.69
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$108.26
All 13 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2025, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick55cpaid-40.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
UFC — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. dos Santosbacked Magny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$20.63
Spivac vs. Cortes-Acostabacked Spivac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.59
Vieira vs. Chiassonbacked Chiasson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.8
Jacoby vs. Lopesbacked Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.62
Filho vs. Nascimentobacked Nascimento · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$21.36
Dos Santos vs. Ardeleanbacked Dos Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.57
Muhammad vs. Della Maddalenabacked Maddalena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$48.14
Shevchenko vs. Fiorotbacked Fiorot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.87
Aldo vs. Zahabibacked Aldo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Bukauskas vs. Cutelababacked Cutelaba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.13
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$15.2
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$28.63
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Jets vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$40.47
All 4 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dream vs Feverbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$42.44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.