MLB · resolved market
Reds vs. Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40c762b0413b9a66aa9e07ac3f737eb11bbdc05161b382f6f0953ace61231d0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Redsof Reds, Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,279
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,279 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Cubs | 56c | 8,615$4,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,824.39 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cubs | 38c | 6,019$2,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310.96 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Reds | 57c | 5,969$3,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,569.62 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Reds | 44c | 5,935$2,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,323.76 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…9bf2backed Reds | 44c | 5,013$2,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,807.27 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Reds | 68c | 4,645$3,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.4 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cubs | 38c | 3,989$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.77 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe84…779ebacked Cubs | 56c | 3,930$2,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200.8 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Cubs | 44c | 3,640$1,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,603.41 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Cubs | 54c | 3,078$1,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,662.35 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Reds | 72c | 2,783$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.88 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Reds | 45c | 2,680$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Reds | 44c | 2,624$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.62 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Reds | 57c | 2,133$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.8 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Reds | 65c | 2,130$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.8 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Cubs | 28c | 2,022$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.82 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Cubs | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.99 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Cubs | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Cubs | 55c | 1,850$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.5 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Cubs | 33c | 1,803$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.99 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cubs | 54c | 1,784$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.66 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cubs | 55c | 1,721$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.97 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Reds | 55c | 1,252$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.33 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Reds | 48c | 1,207$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.24 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cubs | 55c | 1,190$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.46 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…3f4fbacked Reds | 44c | 1,135$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.72 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Reds | 45c | 1,044$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.44 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…5b87backed Cubs | 17c | 1,000$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.04 | 129 | 24.8%32 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Cubs | 56c | 999.88$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.93 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Reds | 44c | 899.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.67 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Cubs | 55c | 899$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.45 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Reds | 47c | 850$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.5 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Cubs | 56c | 802.36$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.32 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc1…bf5dbacked Cubs | 56c | 800$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Cubs | 56c | 782.86$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.4 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Reds | 46c | 759.61$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.19 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cubs | 32c | 673.69$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.42 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Cubs | 4c | 670$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Cubs | 23c | 660.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2626…93abbacked Reds | 44c | 550$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Cubs | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Reds | 56c | 490.64$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.12 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Reds | 46c | 452.36$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.27 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Cubs | 56c | 445.97$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.74 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cubs | 55c | 418.63$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.25 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Cubs | 56c | 399.97$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.98 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Reds | 43c | 399.95$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.97 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Reds | 72c | 387.5$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Reds | 76c | 362.16$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.61 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Cubs | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x051a…98b9backed Cubs | 56c | 352.22$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Reds | 43c | 349.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.46 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Reds | 66c | 338.03$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.93 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Reds | 61c | 334.2$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.54 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Reds | 55c | 329$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.46 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Reds | 66c | 300.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.77 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…d2fabacked Reds | 44c | 300.26$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.26 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Reds | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb25e…39aabacked Reds | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7f…7f9fbacked Cubs | 31c | 293.71$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.18 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Cubs | 71c | 281$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.51 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Cubs | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Reds | 44c | 234.2$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.15 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Cubs | 56c | 231.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.92 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cubs | 56c | 229.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.8 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Cubs | 32c | 228.41$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.57 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Reds | 59c | 228$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.92 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Reds | 44c | 227.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.2 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Reds | 44c | 225.1$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.06 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Reds | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Reds | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7d…0a62backed Reds | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed Reds | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Cubs | 55c | 220.07$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.75 | 193 | 56.5%109 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Cubs | 57c | 219.3$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Cubs | 22c | 218.24$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Reds | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Cubs | 57c | 203.96$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.25 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Reds | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ad…2582backed Reds | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Reds | 43c | 199.96$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.98 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Reds | 41c | 189.17$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.46 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd3…1174backed Cubs | 35c | 155.93$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.17 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1417…4dd2backed Reds | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a05…5e89backed Reds | 45c | 150.24$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.63 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Reds | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Reds | 45c | 140$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.54 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Reds | 43c | 139.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Cubs | 56c | 137.5$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4354…571fbacked Cubs | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1151…94cebacked Reds | 44c | 122.23$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.45 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Reds | 45c | 122$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Reds | 54c | 117.89$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.23 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9898…c894backed Cubs | 57c | 115.49$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.83 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc2…c3d2backed Cubs | 57c | 114.56$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.3 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa82e…c19cbacked Cubs | 56c | 107$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.92 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9d…9de8backed Cubs | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…ac8dbacked Reds | 44c | 104.55$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.55 | 268 | 45.5%122 W · 146 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53b9…1d0fbacked Cubs | 57c | 102.07$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.18 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Reds | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.