TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Jets vs. Stars

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Starsof Jets, Stars
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$349,813
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$401,621

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $349,813 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 235 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee03…3eeabacked Stars60c39,940$24,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,820.9817448.9%85 W · 89 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Jets48c27,065$12,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,991.0610343.7%45 W · 58 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Stars57c23,378$13,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,051.7611441.2%47 W · 67 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f2…5495backed Jets47c23,091$10,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,9094151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa99c…3070backed Jets17c21,866$3,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,729.529319.8%58 W · 235 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Jets45c21,723$9,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,775.2910745.8%49 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xccba…0ce8backed Jets6c13,488$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.994434.1%15 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Jets1c12,423$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.421,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1c9…96d9backed Jets44c11,700$5,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,188.261428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-42.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Stars52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,80019555.4%108 W · 87 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5248…aabbbacked Jets46c9,999$4,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,555.15147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Jets42c9,999$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,199.5631546.3%146 W · 169 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed Stars55c9,653$5,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,389.7321652.3%113 W · 103 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Stars57c9,515$5,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,098.511145.9%51 W · 60 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Stars56c8,222$4,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,617.581,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc84…3e67backed Jets46c7,748$3,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,564.044852.1%25 W · 23 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8a2…3b96backed Stars52c6,270$3,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,030.6862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Stars53c4,893$2,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,306.481,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Stars55c4,616$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,066.321,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Stars58c3,596$2,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,515.0927958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Stars69c3,593$2,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.0258467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Stars56c3,247$1,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,42666951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Stars54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,38039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Jets15c3,000$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43881846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Jets31c2,979$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.764050%20 W · 20 L+6.0wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+29.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Jets49c2,933$1,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,437.3123642.8%101 W · 135 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Stars55c2,500$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12521048.1%101 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fad…1d0abacked Jets46c2,485$1,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,136.72714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick37cpaid-67.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Stars56c2,445$1,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.491,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27ca…c635backed Jets43c2,300$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+66%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b2c…284cbacked Stars58c2,241$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.386848.5%33 W · 35 L-7.5wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Jets47c2,127$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009750.5%49 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc91a…c6b8backed Jets46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9201942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa97b…388dbacked Stars54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9201361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+23.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Stars54c1,836$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.7414844.6%66 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1331…3d82backed Stars58c1,793$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.287163.4%45 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce4d…a7fabacked Stars57c1,655$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.525555.3%141 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Stars54c1,500$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6859942.4%42 W · 57 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d45…b661backed Stars51c1,448$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.73540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid-19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Jets43c1,163$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50083652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Jets20c1,118$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22154418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x519f…2af7backed Jets45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007044.3%31 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1dbe…1e9bbacked Jets10c1,092$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041625%4 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Jets14c1,035$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14441650.7%211 W · 205 L+15.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Jets28c1,016$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.7211352.2%59 W · 54 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3451…49a5backed Jets49c1,015$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Jets45c999.99$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Stars64c951$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.4714538.6%56 W · 89 L-19.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-32.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x7fcd…f3c4backed Stars58c942.34$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.782100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Stars72c853.88$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.012,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4946…e041backed Stars55c850$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.512462.9%78 W · 46 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Jets38c833.58$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.2613348.1%64 W · 69 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Jets41c765.25$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.013,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40b3…6159backed Stars55c723.64$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.648870.5%62 W · 26 L+9.2wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+16.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Jets4c700$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261016.9%7 W · 94 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick4cpaid+32.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Jets2c674.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.251458.3%12 W · 133 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick5cpaid+135.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Stars55c600.02$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.2684051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b88…d628backed Stars54c600$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2765534.5%19 W · 36 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2247…52d1backed Jets36c599.99$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.22540%10 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecf7…ee71backed Stars55c590.91$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.91450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Jets43c581.98$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.256850%34 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7225…36a2backed Stars76c570$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.2850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dc8…e126backed Jets24c566.17$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1352755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31b7…bde1backed Stars55c533.37$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.863641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Jets42c518.19$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.5629748.8%145 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Stars54c512$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.5275155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7988…9619backed Jets45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2252334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x954b…eb22backed Stars57c500$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2165850%29 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Jets18c479.86$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8614012.9%18 W · 122 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Jets43c464.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012556.8%71 W · 54 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38e0…ccb5backed Jets44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002770.4%19 W · 8 L+3.9wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+24.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Stars56c446.43$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.437454.1%40 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa068…9574backed Jets45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006946.4%32 W · 37 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Jets46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20042751.1%218 W · 209 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6391…bc1cbacked Stars56c428$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.326144.3%27 W · 34 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Jets43c420.44$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.225340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Stars51c418.08$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.869550.5%48 W · 47 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Jets44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17628842%121 W · 167 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x666e…d5d7backed Stars55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.641947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6a…f9d0backed Stars54c355.32$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.7919836.9%73 W · 125 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Jets45c333.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508644.2%38 W · 48 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-11%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Stars50c331.01$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.4592848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15fc…93f5backed Stars57c324.82$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.672100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Jets45c310.87$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.8924347.7%116 W · 127 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3539…b17bbacked Jets45c303.07$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.142462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Jets7c300.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014542.8%62 W · 83 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+1.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x569b…9667backed Stars55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1355100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+103.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Stars54c296.7$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.4872847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Jets46c293.04$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.815261.8%94 W · 58 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc8d…5232backed Stars71c280$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.51764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed Stars57c253.6$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.0524949.8%124 W · 125 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Jets44c245.29$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9310739.3%42 W · 65 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xed27…14cbbacked Stars55c229.09$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.09425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x73b8…aa92backed Jets33c225.17$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7518144.8%81 W · 100 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0111…0463backed Jets45c222.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023140.3%93 W · 138 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Jets46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036652.7%193 W · 173 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Jets7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9537254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Stars55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9021255.7%118 W · 94 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4b8…f54cbacked Stars69c198.17$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.614100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcada…698abacked Jets41c190.43$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.