TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Tigers vs. Pirates

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Piratesof Tigers, Pirates
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$386,352
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$482,056

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $386,352 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 255 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4f5b…d411backed Tigers56c89,217$49,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,719.574057.5%23 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5912…89aebacked Pirates46c86,798$39,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,8712744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x61bf…647ebacked Pirates44c63,478$27,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,547.856642.4%28 W · 38 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Tigers54c31,803$17,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,173.486751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Tigers55c20,000$11,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,00060451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Tigers54c18,887$10,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,198.9353150.5%268 W · 263 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Tigers57c15,000$8,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,549.9555053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Tigers54c14,831$8,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,008.7426949.4%133 W · 136 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Pirates45c14,503$6,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,976.661,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Pirates44c10,222$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,722.1697950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Tigers54c8,600$4,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,64413065.4%85 W · 45 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x71b1…ac2cbacked Tigers1c5,335$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.32035%7 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Tigers35c5,171$1,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,825.849,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Pirates44c5,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,799.9844456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Tigers56c4,770$2,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,671.226355.5%146 W · 117 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98b1…d855backed Tigers54c4,377$2,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3833531.4%11 W · 24 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-33.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tigers54c4,305$2,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,317.82,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Tigers16c4,052$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.3238444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Pirates44c3,700$1,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,071.9598149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Pirates45c3,500$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,91038249.5%189 W · 193 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Pirates46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6201,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Tigers54c3,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,62015944%70 W · 89 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Tigers20c2,864$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.2993240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Tigers54c2,500$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35056451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef1b…8697backed Tigers55c2,273$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,250.1614042.9%60 W · 80 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Tigers56c2,000$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1106550.8%33 W · 32 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Tigers12c1,840$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.631,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Pirates44c1,820$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.21,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Tigers55c1,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001,05648.3%510 W · 546 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c95…0a3abacked Pirates45c1,800$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.9511555.7%64 W · 51 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+22.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Pirates42c1,782$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.6471751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Tigers5c1,685$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.8117927.9%50 W · 129 L-15.3wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-50.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Tigers54c1,627$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.7595850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Pirates45c1,535$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.081,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Tigers19c1,392$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.3696133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x49d0…8503backed Tigers54c1,389$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7503842.1%16 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Tigers45c1,388$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.042,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Tigers1c1,236$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3925416.1%41 W · 213 L-15.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-57.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Pirates47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5305648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c9…2c23backed Tigers50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004252.4%22 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x03cd…9fdabacked Tigers55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55031346.6%146 W · 167 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Pirates77c966.16$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.6843946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Tigers2c950$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195852.1%12 W · 573 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Pirates43c900$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5131,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Pirates50c900$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4501,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Pirates44c838.22$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.611,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pirates43c814$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.9873352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5681…cac8backed Tigers5c777$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.855042%21 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Tigers15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001020%2 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-67.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Tigers57c642.98$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.7325954.1%140 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Tigers56c600$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33633852.1%176 W · 162 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Pirates48c579.44$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.4466645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Tigers47c571.9$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.434051.2%174 W · 166 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Tigers55c500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27551151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Tigers25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.7161346.3%284 W · 329 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Tigers51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25551334.5%177 W · 336 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Pirates43c465.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.1263052.7%332 W · 298 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Tigers55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Tigers56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20080955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Tigers5c335$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.318762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26e2…1a63backed Tigers27c311.98$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844320.9%9 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-54.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Tigers8c308.83$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.711,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Pirates46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1623,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Tigers55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1652,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Tigers54c277.78$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Pirates44c260.98$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.982,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Tigers35c249.86$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.396,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Pirates43c244.19$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.1999951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked Pirates42c238.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.6131347.9%150 W · 163 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Pirates45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.226357.1%36 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Pirates45c220$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1211,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Tigers58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11692754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Tigers55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11015644.9%70 W · 86 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+25.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x88ae…41a4backed Tigers55c199.83$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.912839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb97…add3backed Tigers56c198.66$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.257142.3%30 W · 41 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Tigers58c190.28$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11011748.7%57 W · 60 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Pirates71c180.84$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5480680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Tigers56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Pirates44c176.79$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9954941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f39…27a5backed Pirates44c168.75$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.59345.2%42 W · 51 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f36…4e9cbacked Tigers55c163.64$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9013254.5%72 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83b3…7c4dbacked Tigers56c160.71$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95ec…4b7ebacked Tigers50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8038743.2%167 W · 220 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc09…9d12backed Tigers56c150$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848253.7%44 W · 38 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a34…56cfbacked Tigers54c142.59$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7728053.9%151 W · 129 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x641b…6116backed Tigers55c132.18$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.75162.7%32 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ea…e15cbacked Pirates46c130.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4322351.6%115 W · 108 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x795e…1892backed Tigers55c130.27$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7c7…5dd7backed Tigers57c122$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.54955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b74…2bc1backed Pirates43c122$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.54728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-32.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4002…7251backed Pirates46c118$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.72450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Pirates74c116.51$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.94,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c6a…06b7backed Pirates46c114.96$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.083100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+116.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a29…c0b6backed Tigers55c112.73$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6216659.6%99 W · 67 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8718…db3abacked Tigers23c110.04$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.27425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-67.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Pirates46c110$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.41,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82b9…3e7ebacked Pirates46c107.61$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.113540%14 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d2c…d474backed Pirates46c102.48$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.34250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Pirates43c100.24$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1470946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5930…f3fdbacked Pirates46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548552.9%45 W · 40 L+8.9wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.