MLB · resolved market
Diamondbacks vs. Angels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x423a2e2c2838e0f151d8478866ce1b212b3dc753b1c87148752227a26bbef7e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Diamondbacksof Diamondbacks, Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $127,528
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $138,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,528 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 52,166$23,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,169.6 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Angels | 54c | 23,423$12,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,648.34 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Diamondbacks | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,399.99 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Angels | 52c | 17,377$9,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,036.02 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Angels | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Angels | 51c | 6,321$3,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,219.16 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Angels | 54c | 6,321$3,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,413.21 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Angels | 54c | 4,371$2,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360.51 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Angels | 52c | 3,241$1,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670.99 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Angels | 54c | 2,700$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.19 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Angels | 51c | 2,647$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Diamondbacks | 59c | 2,511$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.93 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Angels | 15c | 2,028$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Angels | 25c | 1,973$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.6 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Diamondbacks | 58c | 1,594$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.96 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Angels | 51c | 1,581$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.34 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3210…5c4ebacked Angels | 35c | 1,450$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.49 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…12debacked Angels | 54c | 1,446$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.95 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Angels | 31c | 1,382$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.04 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfde0…c21cbacked Angels | 21c | 1,190$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Angels | 20c | 1,137$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.58 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Diamondbacks | 49c | 1,113$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.4 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.2 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Diamondbacks | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Angels | 16c | 949.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Diamondbacks | 49c | 758.09$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.63 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Angels | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Angels | 53c | 732.92$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.45 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b54…d382backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 708.51$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.51 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Angels | 54c | 645.13$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 610.8$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.89 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Angels | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa842…08e5backed Angels | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Diamondbacks | 43c | 539.91$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.75 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Angels | 41c | 520.49$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.48 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 480.79$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.4 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Angels | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Diamondbacks | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Angels | 65c | 308.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Angels | 52c | 307.5$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.9 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 302.32$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.3 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1578…fa2cbacked Diamondbacks | 60c | 301.2$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.2 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd46…bcd2backed Angels | 14c | 296.86$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.56 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Diamondbacks | 65c | 255.89$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.41 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 255.32$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.32 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Diamondbacks | 61c | 247.9$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.39 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…508abacked Diamondbacks | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Diamondbacks | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Angels | 50c | 199.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Angels | 51c | 196.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Angels | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Angels | 54c | 186$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 169.39$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.47 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5241…f648backed Angels | 56c | 149.91$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.95 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 146.67$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.67 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb97…add3backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 123.28$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.7 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb44…db74backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 119.7$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…606cbacked Diamondbacks | 42c | 118.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.42 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef44…66afbacked Diamondbacks | 80c | 113.1$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 164 | 72%118 W · 46 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Angels | 53c | 106.36$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.37 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Angels | 51c | 102.77$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.41 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Angels | 50c | 100.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.42 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 171 | 39.2%67 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Diamondbacks | 80c | 95$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Angels | 54c | 92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 91.88$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.53 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4465…93b9backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 89$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aaf…99f4backed Angels | 54c | 83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Diamondbacks | 53c | 77$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Angels | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Angels | 52c | 72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd920…b7b6backed Angels | 54c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8497…5eabbacked Angels | 54c | 69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ba…09e7backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Diamondbacks | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…40a4backed Angels | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 49.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe07c…551dbacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Angels | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…b890backed Diamondbacks | 60c | 36.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 161 | 62.1%100 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Diamondbacks | 60c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 27.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Angels | 54c | 26.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Diamondbacks | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Diamondbacks | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd160…603dbacked Diamondbacks | 74c | 19.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.