MLB · resolved market
Royals vs. Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe37c5dfdeac862dc2a187fc484166a536e39636868c2a8a5d4107a98c50d5078
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Royalsof Royals, Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,089
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,047
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,089 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Royals | 53c | 16,130$8,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,636.49 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Marlins | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Marlins | 48c | 4,653$2,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,233.44 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Marlins | 54c | 4,000$2,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.1 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Marlins | 47c | 3,800$1,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Royals | 65c | 3,121$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.92 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Royals | 49c | 2,831$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.7 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Marlins | 48c | 2,562$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.1 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Royals | 46c | 2,251$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.93 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Royals | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.99 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Royals | 52c | 1,926$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.6 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Marlins | 27c | 1,730$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.78 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Royals | 52c | 1,702$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.93 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Marlins | 50c | 1,452$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.24 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8b…c5e2backed Royals | 53c | 1,450$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.51 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5b…6fc4backed Marlins | 47c | 1,450$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Royals | 52c | 1,341$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.54 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Marlins | 2c | 1,333$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Marlins | 1c | 1,170$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fb…7d8cbacked Royals | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Marlins | 58c | 999.81$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.2 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c43…1f64backed Royals | 53c | 932$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.04 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff1f…d5dfbacked Marlins | 47c | 932$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.04 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Royals | 25c | 849.41$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.06 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Marlins | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ef…dfd1backed Marlins | 51c | 780.96$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…b890backed Marlins | 60c | 749.07$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.72 | 161 | 62.1%100 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Marlins | 3c | 533$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd3…1174backed Marlins | 58c | 518.81$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.94 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Royals | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Marlins | 48c | 469$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.12 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Marlins | 48c | 379.17$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Marlins | 47c | 339.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.8 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Marlins | 48c | 333$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.84 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Royals | 53c | 313.5$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.34 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…8b1dbacked Marlins | 49c | 215$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Marlins | 48c | 210.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…cefebacked Royals | 52c | 210$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Royals | 52c | 209$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.32 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Marlins | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Marlins | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Marlins | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Marlins | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Marlins | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Royals | 51c | 197$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.53 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Marlins | 48c | 180$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Marlins | 45c | 164.74$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.13 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Marlins | 45c | 138.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.15 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Royals | 51c | 137.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.62 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Marlins | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Royals | 49c | 118.32$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.01 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Royals | 48c | 118.17$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.12 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Marlins | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371b…55d8backed Marlins | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdc…1a02backed Royals | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Royals | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Marlins | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Marlins | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 179 | 54.7%98 W · 81 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Marlins | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb97…add3backed Royals | 53c | 93.17$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.73 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Royals | 67c | 93$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Marlins | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Marlins | 49c | 78.41$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.42 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Marlins | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…9e2dbacked Marlins | 47c | 68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc9…a9f9backed Royals | 53c | 68$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4775…c57dbacked Royals | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd920…b7b6backed Royals | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Marlins | 50c | 59.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Royals | 52c | 57.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Royals | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x261a…c166backed Marlins | 28c | 53.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Marlins | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x270f…4654backed Marlins | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…6448backed Royals | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Royals | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Royals | 67c | 46.39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Marlins | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 512 | 45.1%231 W · 281 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Marlins | 48c | 42.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Royals | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…cac8backed Royals | 54c | 37.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…c0edbacked Royals | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 337 | 50.4%170 W · 167 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9c…6209backed Marlins | 48c | 22.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b7…a45ebacked Royals | 53c | 22.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Royals | 52c | 22.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Marlins | 52c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3728…066fbacked Marlins | 48c | 21.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x429a…809ebacked Marlins | 48c | 21.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b4…158dbacked Marlins | 48c | 21.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74e…1ffbbacked Marlins | 48c | 21.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e50…37cdbacked Marlins | 48c | 21.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8eae…4f2fbacked Marlins | 48c | 20.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7183…a39cbacked Royals | 53c | 19.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fd…cc8abacked Royals | 55c | 19.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbb…1858backed Royals | 53c | 19.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7b…ec1abacked Royals | 53c | 18.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22ea…fe7abacked Royals | 55c | 18.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x634f…cb5fbacked Royals | 55c | 18.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78cb…d3c9backed Royals | 55c | 18.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd9…c5ffbacked Royals | 55c | 18.45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.