MLB · resolved market
Diamondbacks vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb19cdb5569c04b69585b26cd3de9e812d527ba811f0ceec260a0cbe4e2f37c24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Diamondbacksof Diamondbacks, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $922,136
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $920,228
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $922,136 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 523 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 629,807$300,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329,156.79 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Athletics | 52c | 135,757$70,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,591.64 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Athletics | 52c | 119,025$61,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,893 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Athletics | 49c | 108,418$53,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,336.24 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Athletics | 53c | 83,963$44,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,439.53 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Athletics | 53c | 53,000$27,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,890 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Athletics | 52c | 37,213$19,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,350.95 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Athletics | 47c | 33,000$15,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,499.99 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Athletics | 52c | 30,000$15,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,600 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 20,408$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,408.16 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 28c | 17,785$4,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,928.58 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Athletics | 18c | 15,501$2,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,790.59 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Athletics | 16c | 12,955$2,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,034.7 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 11,617$5,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,157.06 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8f…a7bbbacked Athletics | 49c | 10,627$5,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,183.73 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Athletics | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Athletics | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Athletics | 53c | 8,163$4,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,301.29 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Athletics | 53c | 7,686$4,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,084.81 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Diamondbacks | 65c | 5,706$3,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,994.49 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3d…f0c9backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 5,500$2,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,915 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.38per pick | 52cpaid | +75%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Athletics | 53c | 5,300$2,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,787.97 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 4,996$2,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,287 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Diamondbacks | 70c | 4,797$3,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.14 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Athletics | 11c | 4,778$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.33 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Athletics | 52c | 4,234$2,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,212.54 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Athletics | 53c | 4,180$2,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,194.7 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Athletics | 52c | 3,500$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Athletics | 53c | 3,468$1,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,838.29 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ec…240abacked Athletics | 53c | 3,200$1,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Athletics | 8c | 2,951$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.12 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Athletics | 52c | 2,700$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42d9…0293backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 2,300$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Athletics | 54c | 2,222$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Athletics | 6c | 2,181$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.81 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…a0c0backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 2,100$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Athletics | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 1,850$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…ab8abacked Athletics | 53c | 1,850$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Athletics | 53c | 1,797$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.35 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Athletics | 52c | 1,774$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.66 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Athletics | 44c | 1,762$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.47 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Athletics | 52c | 1,670$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.4 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Athletics | 10c | 1,602$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.54 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Athletics | 47c | 1,476$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.75 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2bf…2ab3backed Athletics | 48c | 1,472$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.51 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 1,432$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.9 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2eb…9b76backed Athletics | 53c | 1,400$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Athletics | 53c | 1,400$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Athletics | 36c | 1,100$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0db4…cc65backed Athletics | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Athletics | 52c | 999.99$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.99 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Athletics | 52c | 995.38$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.6 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Athletics | 52c | 962$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.24 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Diamondbacks | 59c | 925.9$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.33 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Athletics | 9c | 918.57$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Athletics | 54c | 909.57$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.17 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…c866backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 882$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaf…1aaebacked Athletics | 53c | 882$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Athletics | 6c | 874.05$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.04 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Diamondbacks | 48c | 845.91$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.08 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Athletics | 26c | 811.24$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.15 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Athletics | 10c | 800.41$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.67 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Athletics | 55c | 746.51$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.58 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Athletics | 6c | 741.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…482cbacked Athletics | 52c | 730.79$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.01 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…3f4fbacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 699.99$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…2782backed Diamondbacks | 79c | 699.99$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.95 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Athletics | 16c | 599.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Athletics | 48c | 588.77$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.38 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 577.25$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.08 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 562.62$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.09 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 514.95$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.18 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…cb71backed Athletics | 14c | 503.76$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.53 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Athletics | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…f4f2backed Athletics | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Athletics | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…33d8backed Athletics | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Diamondbacks | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…7b91backed Athletics | 53c | 499.99$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 499.99$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.99 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 489.36$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.36 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Athletics | 51c | 472.43$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.94 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf8…ba0dbacked Athletics | 54c | 444.44$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 426.04$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.28 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Athletics | 47c | 407.26$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.41 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Athletics | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd469…6255backed Athletics | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f28…b992backed Athletics | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c44…6ecebacked Athletics | 51c | 379.75$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.78 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Athletics | 53c | 375$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.07 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Athletics | 54c | 367.24$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.31 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83f5…b3fdbacked Athletics | 53c | 350$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 350$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 349.97$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.98 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5d…7af4backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 326.71$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.01 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.