TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Diamondbacks vs. Tigers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tigersof Diamondbacks, Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,896
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,306

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,896 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4dae…f8b2backed Tigers63c8,793$5,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,263.2513352.6%70 W · 63 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x11af…020abacked Tigers56c5,355$2,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,356.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f73…8d13backed Diamondbacks43c4,668$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Diamondbacks45c4,644$2,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,089.7998149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8663…6358backed Tigers56c4,643$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,042.922100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick41cpaid+189.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Diamondbacks37c4,537$1,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,681.0154345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b0c…cd1cbacked Tigers56c3,500$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,540850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+17%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Diamondbacks45c3,477$1,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,564.8438949.1%191 W · 198 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3a0…35c4backed Diamondbacks44c3,410$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe818…8197backed Diamondbacks44c3,408$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.5220%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Tigers55c3,270$1,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,471.513065.4%85 W · 45 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x66f9…7bc6backed Diamondbacks44c3,180$1,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadf0…00fbbacked Diamondbacks45c3,070$1,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,381.549250.4%248 W · 244 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Tigers57c2,641$1,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,135.586751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tigers55c2,310$1,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.672,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x448b…a674backed Diamondbacks44c2,100$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x42ad…9e0cbacked Diamondbacks44c1,900$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-45.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xef69…a854backed Tigers56c1,488$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.614461.4%27 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeebe…6a3cbacked Tigers56c1,466$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.04728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-51.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Tigers55c1,400$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63038249.5%189 W · 193 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc041…3becbacked Diamondbacks44c1,300$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-31.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2976…db80backed Diamondbacks44c1,200$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-46.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04c9…abeabacked Diamondbacks44c1,200$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe539…de6bbacked Diamondbacks44c1,200$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Tigers55c1,136$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.3636047.5%171 W · 189 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc99b…7d85backed Tigers56c1,100$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a22…35aebacked Diamondbacks44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-51.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdb1…7c48backed Tigers56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x63db…4401backed Tigers56c980$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.2850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9680…23bdbacked Tigers56c934$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.96742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e41…6133backed Tigers56c920$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.8757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+30.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Tigers55c900$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4051,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Diamondbacks13c875$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.71,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Diamondbacks44c851.04$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.465,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Tigers55c827.18$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.2319852.5%104 W · 94 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Diamondbacks37c819.11$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.938444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Tigers55c800$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35842452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Diamondbacks46c724.63$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.3370946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Diamondbacks42c680.16$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.012,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Tigers54c637.13$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.087542.7%32 W · 43 L+9.3wins+0.12per pick30cpaid+63.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Diamondbacks42c603.72$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.5112037.5%45 W · 75 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Diamondbacks7c509.54$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7641643.8%182 W · 234 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Diamondbacks41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf41e…d27dbacked Tigers55c454.55$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.5522546.2%104 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe98b…780dbacked Tigers55c446.75$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.0115151%77 W · 74 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Diamondbacks45c443.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.5834051.2%174 W · 166 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Tigers54c427.98$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.8730850%154 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Diamondbacks38c423.16$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.379,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Tigers60c416.67$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.671,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Tigers55c365.58$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.5140152.4%210 W · 191 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Diamondbacks44c350.32$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.291,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x49b2…b373backed Tigers56c350$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Diamondbacks45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1352,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Diamondbacks46c282.61$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Tigers54c219.97$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.191,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Tigers56c219.64$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.6499951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bf7…cdb7backed Diamondbacks37c215.99$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.6145749.7%227 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Tigers59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8292754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fe0…9c67backed Diamondbacks44c182$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.08683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+63%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Tigers55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.822,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Tigers55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.822,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7703…34b9backed Tigers55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.829550.5%48 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa320…8232backed Tigers56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5728447.5%135 W · 149 L-20.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Diamondbacks40c174.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe951…8df2backed Diamondbacks44c168$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.92862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+23.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaaef…472abacked Tigers67c165$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.4532754.7%179 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9823…02dbbacked Tigers67c165$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.4514565.5%95 W · 50 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2719…28ddbacked Tigers67c165$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.4525364.4%163 W · 90 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Diamondbacks48c162$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.766,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9587…cd8ebacked Diamondbacks44c159.96$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3831244.2%138 W · 174 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb062…2811backed Tigers49c150$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+27.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f57…2ac8backed Diamondbacks51c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.5955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Diamondbacks44c140.98$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.0313843.5%60 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Diamondbacks43c133.32$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3351347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Tigers60c121.43$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.431,38855.1%765 W · 623 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Tigers54c119.17$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.8295850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x74c4…4493backed Diamondbacks46c110$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.617850%89 W · 89 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c9b…5722backed Diamondbacks46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010057%57 W · 43 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x282c…784bbacked Tigers61c108.11$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.167733.8%26 W · 51 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Diamondbacks44c106.27$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.761,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Tigers55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Diamondbacks45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4566751.9%346 W · 321 L+30.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Diamondbacks43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4341747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85c4…25e7backed Diamondbacks45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456448.4%31 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58f9…a04fbacked Diamondbacks45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd920…b7b6backed Tigers55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4516752.1%87 W · 80 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e7f…7f9fbacked Tigers57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439554.7%52 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x28e0…d2fabacked Diamondbacks46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462450%12 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Tigers55c87$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.152,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked Diamondbacks46c83.85$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.571,07846.3%499 W · 579 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5532…c6dbbacked Diamondbacks44c83.61$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7919449%95 W · 99 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a34…56cfbacked Tigers55c76.36$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3628053.9%151 W · 129 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4354…571fbacked Tigers67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6313456.7%76 W · 58 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Tigers57c70.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1820138.8%78 W · 123 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-6.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6a90…975bbacked Diamondbacks45c68.89$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee1d…cc3abacked Tigers55c63.01$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.182254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Tigers55c61.65$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7443247.2%204 W · 228 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4884…9b0abacked Tigers56c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.49246.7%43 W · 49 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb64f…3237backed Diamondbacks45c56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.216846.4%78 W · 90 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Diamondbacks45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.516934.9%59 W · 110 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.