TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xee1d…cc3a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
128
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 52 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT8148.1%39 W · 42 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 81 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First Blood in Game 2?backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.25
LoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$65.56
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.49
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.15
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.38
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.18
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$122.58
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$27.02
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.5
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 4 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$900.19
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.99
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+129.3%+$424.8
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$187.68
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.96
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$56.58
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.49
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$147
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$501.05
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+83.5%+$247.45
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$156.53
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.48
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$138.72
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$36.56
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$178
Game Handicap: WB (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$461Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$442.6
Showing 25 of 81 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.46
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.15
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Red Sox vs. Raysbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.08
Cubs vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.86
Rockies vs. Padresbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$27.72
Braves vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$188.91
Angels vs. Athleticsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$114.47
Diamondbacks vs. Rockiesbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Nationals vs. Royalsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$111.81
Dodgers vs. Angelsbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.64
Twins vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$37
Angels vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT+51.7%+$76.83
Reds vs. Piratesbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+100%+$50
Tigers vs. Philliesbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.68
Rangers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Rays vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$144.91
Mariners vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$11.95
Marlins vs. Cardinalsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+35.4%+$12.39
Rockies vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$7.35
Phillies vs. White Soxbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$6.52
Diamondbacks vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+80.9%+$28.18
All 22 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 12, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+51.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: BLG vs TESbacked BLG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$24.95
LoL: DK vs BFXbacked BFX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.02
LoL: BLG vs TESbacked TES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.8
LoL: HLE vs T1backed HLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$27
All 4 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$17.07
Knicks vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+40.8%+$47.9
Thunder vs. Rocketsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+63.9%+$46.15
All 3 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick76cpaid-57.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 15, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como win on 2025-09-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.53
Will US Cremonese win on 2025-08-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$15.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Sep 15, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2025-09-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$18.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$16.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Northwestern Wildcats vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+28.2%+$25.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Akron vs. UABbacked UAB · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+25%+$16.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.73
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.