Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: WB (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41f04ab79b2e5f4dc1caea04b5b914dbdbf27129d3877c059773f68c84faba48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team WEof Weibo Gaming, Team WE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,372
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,372 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Weibo Gaming | 48c | 6,226$2,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,996.68 | 675 | 52.4%354 W · 321 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Weibo Gaming | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Weibo Gaming | 4c | 2,761$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.53 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team WE | 45c | 1,652$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.14 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Team WE | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 488 | 44.3%216 W · 272 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6130…a7a6backed Team WE | 52c | 1,446$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.17 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Team WE | 69c | 1,107$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.24 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d42…cde0backed Team WE | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Team WE | 49c | 968.07$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.7 | 647 | 49.9%323 W · 324 L | -24.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee1d…cc3abacked Team WE | 51c | 903.27$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.6 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf38…848bbacked Weibo Gaming | 48c | 887.98$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.23 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Team WE | 50c | 832$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 238 | 32.4%77 W · 161 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8be…3d54backed Team WE | 52c | 760.11$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.11 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc83f…23e4backed Team WE | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…ef88backed Team WE | 52c | 519.23$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.23 | 222 | 29.3%65 W · 157 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Team WE | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…2898backed Weibo Gaming | 51c | 460.78$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Team WE | 36c | 310.87$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.01 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Team WE | 49c | 310.1$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.15 | 150 | 46%69 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Weibo Gaming | 80c | 300$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 336 | 42.3%142 W · 194 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…cd9dbacked Weibo Gaming | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Team WE | 50c | 280$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +30%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Team WE | 50c | 232$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 390 | 55.4%216 W · 174 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Weibo Gaming | 33c | 215.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.23 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Team WE | 50c | 203.4$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.4 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b6…e762backed Weibo Gaming | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…6e47backed Team WE | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd795…6fcdbacked Weibo Gaming | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 314 | 35.7%112 W · 202 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9b…bc2fbacked Weibo Gaming | 50c | 199.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 520 | 62.3%324 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Team WE | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 1,114 | 35%390 W · 724 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Team WE | 50c | 184.6$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.3 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Team WE | 50c | 176.9$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.45 | 286 | 52.8%151 W · 135 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Weibo Gaming | 50c | 138$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 160 | 35%56 W · 104 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd10f…bef4backed Team WE | 56c | 134.72$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.72 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Weibo Gaming | 48c | 127.35$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.02 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Weibo Gaming | 48c | 119.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 316 | 50.3%159 W · 157 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Team WE | 52c | 116.06$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.06 | 493 | 46.5%229 W · 264 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team WE | 44c | 108.35$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.68 | 704 | 56.4%397 W · 307 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Team WE | 50c | 108$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 238 | 31.5%75 W · 163 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda39…1865backed Weibo Gaming | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Team WE | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0eb…8e93backed Team WE | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Team WE | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…3d05backed Weibo Gaming | 64c | 95.16$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.19 | 237 | 48.5%115 W · 122 L | -15.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…9bb3backed Team WE | 62c | 93.34$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.91 | 159 | 56%89 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Weibo Gaming | 49c | 90$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…8259backed Team WE | 51c | 88.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 381 | 44.6%170 W · 211 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Team WE | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +16.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Weibo Gaming | 50c | 79.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 251 | 54.2%136 W · 115 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Team WE | 46c | 77.6$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.7 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…3d55backed Weibo Gaming | 49c | 69.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Weibo Gaming | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x143c…88b9backed Team WE | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 278 | 48.2%134 W · 144 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Weibo Gaming | 35c | 52.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Weibo Gaming | 51c | 46.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df2…d357backed Team WE | 51c | 43.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 409 | 59.2%242 W · 167 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…1c1dbacked Team WE | 51c | 41.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked Weibo Gaming | 52c | 41.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c7…a5e3backed Weibo Gaming | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Weibo Gaming | 49c | 39.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 641 | 46.5%298 W · 343 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked Team WE | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 843 | 60.1%507 W · 336 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…8cfbbacked Weibo Gaming | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 62.6%62 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5b…62c7backed Team WE | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…ed48backed Weibo Gaming | 50c | 32.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Weibo Gaming | 44c | 31.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 257 | 37%95 W · 162 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Team WE | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 86 | 29.1%25 W · 61 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeed2…ad97backed Weibo Gaming | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: WB (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group AscendWeibo Gaming won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 WinnerWeibo Gaming won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 WinnerTeam WE won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.