TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$91,113
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,334

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,113 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc623…5808backed Under0c69,753$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7512446%57 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Over64c2,420$1,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.181,17066.2%774 W · 396 L+69.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Under57c2,337$1,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,332.2852750.5%266 W · 261 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Over43c2,239$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,276.448440.5%196 W · 288 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Under58c2,124$1,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,239.081,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under44c2,051$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.132,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73da…b7acbacked Over42c1,442$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.3132457.7%187 W · 137 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked Over60c702.68$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.1548844.3%216 W · 272 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x565a…3207backed Under37c614.74$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.72934.5%10 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7b1…7e9abacked Under42c600$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2524746.8%22 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under44c594.63$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.641,20743.5%525 W · 682 L-14.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under43c539.2$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.772,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37a1…bedfbacked Over42c499.99$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.9911344.2%50 W · 63 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8be…3d54backed Over69c499.95$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.983641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6202…8872backed Over67c457.8$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.1239859.8%238 W · 160 L+31.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xccd7…f491backed Over71c442.83$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.5642246.4%196 W · 226 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Over43c348.84$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.8410049%49 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa288…46e8backed Over57c345.51$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.051741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Under21c300.94$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6615243.4%66 W · 86 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+22.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1436…0121backed Over59c289.93$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.9366058.8%388 W · 272 L-36.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x60da…a14ebacked Over43c279.07$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.074949%24 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca5e…4a1cbacked Under58c258.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15015552.3%81 W · 74 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee1d…cc3abacked Under35c255.97$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.498148.1%39 W · 42 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed Under43c229.94$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017163.7%109 W · 62 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Under56c228.61$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.021,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c22…0c2cbacked Under47c213.28$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.994755.3%26 W · 21 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+14.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x99ef…184dbacked Under60c166.79$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017953.1%95 W · 84 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddd3…e31fbacked Over43c162.79$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.791656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2935545.4%161 W · 194 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dd7…28d2backed Over43c127.91$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.915536.4%20 W · 35 L-6.6wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-24.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x507c…6c0cbacked Over54c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.66744.8%30 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b81…e7a6backed Over44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.643661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a88…ded1backed Under50c102$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513537.1%13 W · 22 L-4.7wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-34.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdc9e…3a30backed Under37c101.92$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7115857.6%91 W · 67 L+0.7wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb829…4f5ebacked Under32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3214628.8%42 W · 104 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a8c…1991backed Under54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5433254.2%180 W · 152 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Under58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040645.6%185 W · 221 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Under32c86$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5260738.7%235 W · 372 L+2.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Under32c83.93$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8643233.8%146 W · 286 L-20.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over46c77.39$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.791,06154.7%580 W · 481 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Over65c73.84$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.841,39943.7%612 W · 787 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6512…213bbacked Over44c68.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.181546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed Under56c67.96$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.066137.7%23 W · 38 L-8.0wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-30.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under55c67.96$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3850848.4%246 W · 262 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under21c62$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.783,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Under57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.262649.8%312 W · 314 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6219…72dabacked Over44c56.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.822055%11 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+24.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x05bc…eabbbacked Under33c54$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.914139%55 W · 86 L-9.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over44c53.61$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0224642.3%104 W · 142 L-15.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b85…c314backed Under58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308065%52 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e2…68f1backed Under59c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.521256.1%119 W · 93 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Under57c47.79$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2457945.9%266 W · 313 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc508…6b56backed Over43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.515242.3%22 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ffa…6961backed Under56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb441…f757backed Over57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0910959.6%65 W · 44 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x66ea…6791backed Under34c34.8$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1222644.2%100 W · 126 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dbf…a9ffbacked Over46c32.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.613759.5%22 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+33.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Over60c27.76$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2431244.6%139 W · 173 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under45c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2520439.2%80 W · 124 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over59c22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.091,46443.4%636 W · 828 L-32.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf245…746bbacked Under55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.923855.9%133 W · 105 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.