TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xddd3…e31f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$132
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+106.5%+$366.18
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$263.99
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$168
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$364.99
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$110
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$19.21
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$92.79
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$48.92
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$288
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$413.98
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$72
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$408
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.1
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+106%+$106.02
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$999Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$537.92
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-45.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-39.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-45.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$378
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSV win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$148
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.