TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$22,883
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$24,616

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,883 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe015…6ffdbacked Under57c8,773$5,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,772.3296048.8%468 W · 492 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed Over43c2,100$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.9222355.2%123 W · 100 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86018336.6%67 W · 116 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b75…6bb0backed Over26c1,155$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010237.3%38 W · 64 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea3…fe61backed Over33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3304639.1%18 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccd7…f491backed Under73c757.44$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.1942246.4%196 W · 226 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7a…aaaebacked Over43c697.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30026151.7%135 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bb0…e450backed Over60c668.16$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under32c573.44$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.72,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Over43c555$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.651,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over43c545.65$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.6350848.4%246 W · 262 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Over26c499.99$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13021051.4%108 W · 102 L+0.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1350…f908backed Under75c494$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.56860.3%41 W · 27 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7b1…7e9abacked Over40c490.92$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.044746.8%22 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5b7…1454backed Over43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001625%4 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-49.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed Under67c359.99$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.847047.4%223 W · 247 L+24.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x09ce…af35backed Under56c358.75$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.3532755.7%182 W · 145 L+17.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked Over43c325.58$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14063458.4%370 W · 264 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked Under78c322.6$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6948844.3%216 W · 272 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over45c315.98$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.731,59343.8%697 W · 896 L-74.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x119d…bec3backed Under57c263.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.168940.4%36 W · 53 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc623…5808backed Under53c251.07$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.512446%57 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over42c250.16$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.662,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ac7…8a43backed Over25c250$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.518132.6%59 W · 122 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+50.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Over44c240$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.674637.9%283 W · 463 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed Over46c238.82$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11016344.8%73 W · 90 L-12.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x01f1…0bb3backed Over43c227.91$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0531…aa5abacked Under47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.772060%12 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+55.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over38c207.61$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.172,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9503…c47fbacked Over35c204.22$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.365253.8%28 W · 24 L+6.1wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+17.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xddd3…e31fbacked Over38c200$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a8c…1991backed Under54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9233254.2%180 W · 152 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Under53c199.68$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.851,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under54c183$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.181,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Over27c182.74$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.031,72829.5%509 W · 1,219 L-123.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under30c177.37$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.543,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under55c174.64$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.752,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x861f…1ddcbacked Under58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.412458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3911…30f3backed Under76c156.39$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5315953.5%85 W · 74 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ac…6b83backed Over43c155.81$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6728643%123 W · 163 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Over43c151.16$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6530440.1%122 W · 182 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Over43c148.73$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.6831244.6%139 W · 173 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Under40c143.92$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.551,13431%352 W · 782 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd525…1815backed Over35c140.6$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1813632.4%44 W · 92 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-26.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Over46c132$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4657349.4%283 W · 290 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x89d1…55b8backed Under76c131.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.677663.2%48 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Over43c129.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3324650%123 W · 123 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd001…f718backed Under57c119.93$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8919553.3%104 W · 91 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4813…9c01backed Over35c116.65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.291942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a15…e238backed Over43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016640.4%67 W · 99 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over40c113.88$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.081,97130.5%601 W · 1,370 L-170.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x37a1…bedfbacked Over42c113.74$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7711344.2%50 W · 63 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Over42c104.26$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7949847.2%235 W · 263 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Under55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4562649.8%312 W · 314 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Over66c93.32$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.991,17066.2%774 W · 396 L+69.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Under65c89.77$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4237948.3%183 W · 196 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under39c85.28$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.3934834.2%119 W · 229 L-39.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-42.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over50c81.51$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4375150.7%381 W · 370 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Under55c80$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363831.6%12 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d1c…be2ebacked Over39c77.76$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8912…1712backed Over43c70$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.12128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over43c69.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3049346.5%229 W · 264 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over35c67$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.161,92435.9%691 W · 1,233 L-97.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Under68c64.63$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.681,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e8b…3a15backed Over31c62.85$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.481323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.22per pick45cpaid-65.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under56c62.05$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.315748.4%76 W · 81 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd395…3731backed Over33c59.24$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.416636.4%24 W · 42 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03c4…6f4ebacked Over43c58.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2524453.3%130 W · 114 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a88…ded1backed Over43c53.49$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233537.1%13 W · 22 L-4.7wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-34.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3d72…2d0bbacked Over47c53.36$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512052.5%63 W · 57 L-10.7wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-19%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd4a3…d635backed Over39c51.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-27.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe6b…bc2abacked Over44c50.45$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2228165.5%184 W · 97 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea31…b9fdbacked Over43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.52040%8 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+31.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe037…8a91backed Over42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2112741.7%53 W · 74 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe86a…e272backed Over42c49.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2124649.2%121 W · 125 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Over51c49$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0640641.9%170 W · 236 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c67…9896backed Over43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050646%233 W · 273 L+2.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1a7e…e0b3backed Over43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015450.6%78 W · 76 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over30c45.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.922,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x84cb…4b77backed Over43c45$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3513155%72 W · 59 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb941…b56bbacked Under56c44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4431646.5%147 W · 169 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadcc…9cddbacked Under58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.12100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5d6…8267backed Over47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207152.1%37 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x604b…a009backed Over59c42.51$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+30.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Over43c39.6$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.031010%1 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick36cpaid-77.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x807a…3be2backed Over43c36.51$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.73171%22 W · 9 L+6.8wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+55.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Under38c35$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.757222.7%130 W · 442 L-48.9wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-35.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x51bb…f625backed Under60c33.47$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4738953.2%207 W · 182 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1436…0121backed Over52c32.69$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1766058.8%388 W · 272 L-36.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked Under48c32.69$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1734849.1%171 W · 177 L+11.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over33c31.32$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.471,35731.2%423 W · 934 L-129.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-43.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x863f…7b79backed Over45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.557655.9%322 W · 254 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7ec…c264backed Under75c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.579973.3%586 W · 213 L+45.9wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Under69c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8657351.3%294 W · 279 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea89…476abacked Under58c25.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8618756.7%106 W · 81 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x422a…c395backed Under65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+39.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20cf…e421backed Under57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.61464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.