Lol · resolved market
Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c28db6d20124ec503ec036a16759815616742b0ec6f72b90aa7c098ea569533
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,596
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,592
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,596 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0b5e…f0eabacked Yes | 9c | 1,092$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x120c…369ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,076$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b2…20abbacked Yes | 9c | 1,071$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf976…e105backed Yes | 9c | 1,067$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf6…82c4backed Yes | 9c | 1,066$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f53…b6a0backed Yes | 9c | 1,061$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc77e…c8cdbacked Yes | 10c | 1,051$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2637…c6b3backed Yes | 8c | 1,032$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…bf39backed Yes | 10c | 1,010$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?this page
- First Blood in Game 1?KT Rolster won
- Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?No won
- Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?No won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)T1 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2T1 won
- LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 WinnerT1 won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.