Tennis · resolved market
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alexander Bublik
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b649f833977b1bea39e5868a2393b6ef2e84ebb3b38e585d90d3831fec9e5ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bublikof Musetti, Bublik
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $439,836
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $510,873
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $439,836 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 294 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8058…d023backed Bublik | 52c | 23,180$11,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,226.42 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 38cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bublik | 69c | 20,434$14,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,302.45 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Musetti | 23c | 19,596$4,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,546.99 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Musetti | 39c | 15,996$6,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,203.46 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Musetti | 28c | 15,802$4,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,352.59 | 191 | 34%65 W · 126 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…079fbacked Musetti | 50c | 15,112$7,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,524 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Musetti | 48c | 14,333$6,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,879.91 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc64d…c8b7backed Musetti | 46c | 13,758$6,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,328.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Musetti | 48c | 11,799$5,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,718.84 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Musetti | 49c | 11,652$5,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,709.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Bublik | 79c | 11,057$8,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,348 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a65…15b1backed Bublik | 50c | 10,809$5,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,404.39 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Bublik | 51c | 10,133$5,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,931.56 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Musetti | 17c | 9,995$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710.07 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7318…cc3cbacked Musetti | 49c | 8,500$4,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,165 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Musetti | 24c | 8,000$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942.49 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Bublik | 56c | 7,000$3,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bublik | 69c | 6,636$4,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,073.26 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Musetti | 19c | 6,289$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.04 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Bublik | 56c | 6,214$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,714.48 | 284 | 44.7%127 W · 157 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Bublik | 53c | 5,621$2,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,623.88 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…fc5dbacked Musetti | 43c | 5,500$2,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,377.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…594fbacked Bublik | 58c | 5,166$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.01 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Bublik | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.96 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8049…1e6cbacked Musetti | 32c | 4,710$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…5bf6backed Musetti | 48c | 4,349$2,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,105.52 | 206 | 53.4%110 W · 96 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Bublik | 51c | 3,965$2,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,942.82 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Musetti | 49c | 3,702$1,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,812.86 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bublik | 54c | 3,644$1,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.67 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Musetti | 49c | 2,731$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338 | 191 | 31.4%60 W · 131 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf509…67b9backed Bublik | 78c | 2,672$2,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bublik | 51c | 2,594$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.02 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Musetti | 13c | 2,489$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.53 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e13…670bbacked Bublik | 76c | 2,337$1,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.52 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Musetti | 34c | 2,246$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.88 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Musetti | 21c | 2,239$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.23 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Bublik | 47c | 2,200$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bublik | 51c | 2,179$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.71 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Musetti | 48c | 2,084$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…3fa1backed Musetti | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…9622backed Musetti | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Musetti | 48c | 2,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.99 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6125…1b5fbacked Bublik | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Musetti | 15c | 1,938$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.74 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd6…8577backed Musetti | 37c | 1,900$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bublik | 51c | 1,862$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.27 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Musetti | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Bublik | 52c | 1,750$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Bublik | 62c | 1,656$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.59 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…892cbacked Musetti | 49c | 1,653$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.67 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ceb…3656backed Musetti | 34c | 1,550$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.95 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 32cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Musetti | 47c | 1,532$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.63 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Musetti | 47c | 1,411$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.12 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Bublik | 58c | 1,370$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.33 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Bublik | 60c | 1,352$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.72 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Musetti | 42c | 1,319$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.88 | 347 | 45.2%157 W · 190 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Musetti | 12c | 1,298$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.25 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2718…c9c4backed Musetti | 11c | 1,281$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Musetti | 47c | 1,227$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Bublik | 53c | 1,215$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.34 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Musetti | 48c | 1,090$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.6 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff72…512bbacked Musetti | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Bublik | 57c | 1,036$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.28 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Bublik | 57c | 1,032$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.26 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Bublik | 52c | 1,015$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.39 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Musetti | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Bublik | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 401 | 44.4%178 W · 223 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Musetti | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 284 | 51.1%145 W · 139 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Musetti | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed Bublik | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Bublik | 58c | 996.64$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.35 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…b12dbacked Musetti | 37c | 982.16$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.21 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | -8.6wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Bublik | 54c | 927.71$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.91 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Bublik | 54c | 926.82$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.82 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Bublik | 59c | 865.17$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.79 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Bublik | 53c | 804.72$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.72 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Musetti | 29c | 763.96$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.55 | 218 | 43.1%94 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Musetti | 21c | 719.05$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Bublik | 55c | 700$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.87 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…280ebacked Musetti | 32c | 699.99$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Bublik | 51c | 692.45$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.47 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Musetti | 25c | 638.25$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.3 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Musetti | 45c | 634.98$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.74 | 243 | 40.3%98 W · 145 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Musetti | 11c | 599.98$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 580 | 21.9%127 W · 453 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Musetti | 49c | 589.99$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.48 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…581ebacked Musetti | 13c | 586.48$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.84 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Musetti | 19c | 584.25$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.05 | 222 | 36.9%82 W · 140 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…7102backed Bublik | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…da58backed Bublik | 72c | 564.51$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.87 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Bublik | 74c | 542.68$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.35 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9501…a052backed Bublik | 53c | 519.94$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.94 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca39…4ed7backed Bublik | 52c | 510.4$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.99 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Musetti | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Musetti | 10c | 501.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 269 | 21.2%57 W · 212 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…310abacked Bublik | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea8…4e59backed Musetti | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28b9…9719backed Bublik | 64c | 497.98$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.33 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Bublik | 77c | 497.79$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2977…6efcbacked Bublik | 52c | 494.71$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.46 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf74d…9930backed Bublik | 53c | 445.28$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.28 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hong Kong Tennis Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alexander Bublikthis page
- Musetti vs. Bublik: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Musetti vs. Bublik: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.