Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13ec289656b40a8bfde87cb36c8a03b5d2ce4558df26e207ebc0548c53ac39e7

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 24, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,578,212
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,642,929

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,578,212 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 655 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1887…678abacked Yes	69c	508,429$350,816 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350,815.78	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No	30c	267,931$80,294 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$187,637.12	182	53.8%98 W · 84 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+28.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60c1…0438backed Yes	74c	145,555$107,366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107,366.24	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.74per pick	74cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No	31c	140,000$43,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96,600	201	40.8%82 W · 119 L	+7.0wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No	31c	107,521$33,332 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74,189.48	128	47.7%61 W · 67 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No	39c	45,723$18,008 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27,715.39	812	34.7%282 W · 530 L	-24.2wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No	28c	41,715$11,711 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30,004	192	39.1%75 W · 117 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes	65c	39,660$25,942 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,941.61	6,047	45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L	-21.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes	18c	38,445$6,781 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,780.67	176	34.1%60 W · 116 L	-13.2wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No	31c	31,712$9,831 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,880.94	76	53.9%41 W · 35 L	+9.0wins	+0.12per pick	42cpaid	+26%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Yes	49c	22,777$11,195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,195	100	42%42 W · 58 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85e8…474abacked No	31c	21,953$6,801 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,151.77	41	41.5%17 W · 24 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No	24c	21,375$5,174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,201.28	319	44.5%142 W · 177 L	+11.7wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No	31c	20,000$6,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,800	53	37.7%20 W · 33 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa2b…5dfebacked Yes	74c	16,924$12,543 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,542.98	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked No	14c	16,680$2,335 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,344.91	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	+19%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No	31c	15,173$4,705 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,468.58	275	52.7%145 W · 130 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No	31c	13,438$4,166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,272.18	104	55.8%58 W · 46 L	+7.6wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No	29c	12,480$3,611 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,869.32	91	41.8%38 W · 53 L	+9.8wins	+0.11per pick	31cpaid	+27%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes	38c	11,533$4,428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,427.86	755	42.3%319 W · 436 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No	24c	11,423$2,742 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,681.49	953	32.5%310 W · 643 L	-8.3wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed No	31c	11,371$3,525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,845.97	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.17per pick	47cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked No	64c	11,337$7,251 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,086.1	43	30.2%13 W · 30 L	-5.2wins	-0.12per pick	42cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes	69c	11,236$7,753 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,752.52	74	50%37 W · 37 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf09b…584ebacked No	28c	10,905$3,085 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,819.47	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+2.2wins	+0.56per pick	44cpaid	+143.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Yes	54c	10,901$5,887 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,886.7	97	46.4%45 W · 52 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a91…c6b1backed Yes	76c	10,357$7,871 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,871.47	51	45.1%23 W · 28 L	-4.0wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No	26c	10,250$2,630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,619.93	2,530	47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L	+43.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes	70c	10,118$7,101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,100.86	1,179	50%590 W · 589 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes	68c	10,000$6,753 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,753.33	319	47.6%152 W · 167 L	+10.6wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes	70c	9,177$6,446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,446.22	107	65.4%70 W · 37 L	+5.3wins	+0.05per pick	60cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes	44c	8,372$3,662 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,661.75	4,696	41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L	+21.8wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed No	25c	7,594$1,902 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,691.72	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.8wins	+0.26per pick	31cpaid	+61.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	61c	7,152$4,370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,781.55	772	36.4%281 W · 491 L	-9.8wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x046b…340dbacked Yes	69c	6,914$4,771 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,770.62	101	44.6%45 W · 56 L	-9.4wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc4c1…6b32backed Yes	73c	6,849$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	49	59.2%29 W · 20 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked No	64c	6,160$3,970 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,190.25	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+2.1wins	+0.13per pick	43cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked No	36c	6,155$2,244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,910.41	102	53.9%55 W · 47 L	+14.1wins	+0.14per pick	40cpaid	+58.9%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x82c1…c2c6backed No	26c	6,000$1,560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,439.97	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+2.8wins	+0.20per pick	51cpaid	+36.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe998…b7f0backed No	31c	5,974$1,852 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,121.76	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+1.9wins	+0.08per pick	40cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No	38c	5,874$2,252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,621.67	413	44.8%185 W · 228 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cff…eeb8backed Yes	0c	4,963$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.82	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	10cpaid	-91%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Yes	72c	4,627$3,332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,331.64	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-3.1wins	-0.13per pick	50cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked No	31c	4,527$1,403 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,123.63	92	41.3%38 W · 54 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No	69c	4,452$3,078 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,374.14	71	29.6%21 W · 50 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x70d8…a237backed Yes	77c	4,000$3,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,080	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-4.2wins	-0.23per pick	57cpaid	-47.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed No	28c	4,000$1,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,879.99	45	33.3%15 W · 30 L	-3.8wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No	33c	3,907$1,276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,630.54	171	53.8%92 W · 79 L	+10.0wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c2d…6443backed No	31c	3,551$1,101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,450.38	25	56%14 W · 11 L	+5.1wins	+0.21per pick	35cpaid	+57.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No	31c	3,510$1,088 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,421.76	133	48.9%65 W · 68 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Yes	77c	3,500$2,695 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,695	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.26per pick	60cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed No	31c	3,452$1,070 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,381.61	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes	75c	3,333$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	167	53.3%89 W · 78 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No	64c	3,256$2,081 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,175.03	964	45.4%438 W · 526 L	+12.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c37…0631backed Yes	62c	3,226$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked No	25c	3,084$771 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,312.97	116	52.6%61 W · 55 L	+6.0wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c08…5c69backed Yes	73c	3,000$2,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,200	114	49.1%56 W · 58 L	-5.8wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Yes	70c	3,000$2,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,100	55	47.3%26 W · 29 L	+2.5wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes	73c	2,881$2,112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,111.6	154	70.8%109 W · 45 L	+22.5wins	+0.15per pick	56cpaid	+29.2%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Yes	56c	2,786$1,560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,560.01	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-19%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed No	25c	2,699$675 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,023.31	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes	74c	2,563$1,892 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,892.13	406	55.2%224 W · 182 L	+12.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes	37c	2,545$939 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$939.45	139	48.9%68 W · 71 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes	69c	2,500$1,725 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,725	277	52.3%145 W · 132 L	+8.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No	39c	2,425$944 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,480.91	746	44.8%334 W · 412 L	-7.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No	28c	2,367$655 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,712.19	418	50.7%212 W · 206 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes	9c	2,273$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195	41	31.7%13 W · 28 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes	69c	2,245$1,549 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,549.21	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+27.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc666…3706backed Yes	20c	2,197$439 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$439.47	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-1.5wins	-0.15per pick	25cpaid	+42.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No	25c	2,150$538 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,612.5	680	26.3%179 W · 501 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	75c	2,088$1,576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,575.82	532	40%213 W · 319 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No	28c	2,080$582 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,497.6	127	57.5%73 W · 54 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No	28c	2,054$585 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,469.01	149	38.3%57 W · 92 L	-4.2wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes	23c	2,047$471 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470.88	162	37.7%61 W · 101 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No	29c	2,032$593 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,438.78	294	58.2%171 W · 123 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No	25c	2,000$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,500	79	59.5%47 W · 32 L	+6.4wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes	59c	2,000$1,180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,180	321	58.9%189 W · 132 L	+13.6wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed No	25c	1,992$498 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,493.7	33	57.6%19 W · 14 L	+6.3wins	+0.19per pick	38cpaid	+52.4%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x434e…c06abacked Yes	76c	1,968$1,489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,489	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.22per pick	72cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No	25c	1,952$488 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,464	964	43.7%421 W · 543 L	-10.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No	31c	1,919$592 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,327.27	670	42.2%283 W · 387 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4d32…9dfcbacked No	31c	1,894$587 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,306.88	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.69per pick	31cpaid	+222.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No	27c	1,839$502 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,336.94	845	49%414 W · 431 L	-9.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Yes	23c	1,832$429 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$429	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-3.9wins	-0.22per pick	38cpaid	-67.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd1a6…1507backed No	24c	1,824$438 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,385.87	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes	17c	1,818$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$313.62	224	43.8%98 W · 126 L	+11.5wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No	27c	1,800$484 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,316.25	553	51.9%287 W · 266 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes	75c	1,732$1,299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,299	495	44.2%219 W · 276 L	-20.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc774…b6e8backed Yes	69c	1,686$1,166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,166	31	29%9 W · 22 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Yes	70c	1,666$1,166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,166.19	109	60.6%66 W · 43 L	-5.6wins	-0.05per pick	66cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked No	31c	1,613$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,112.9	45	57.8%26 W · 19 L	+2.3wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No	25c	1,600$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,200	170	62.4%106 W · 64 L	+13.2wins	+0.08per pick	55cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No	25c	1,600$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,200	144	59%85 W · 59 L	+7.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed No	31c	1,591$493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,097.77	61	39.3%24 W · 37 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Yes	76c	1,519$1,155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,154.6	146	52.1%76 W · 70 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes	30c	1,503$447 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$446.76	146	58.9%86 W · 60 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14c2…7d55backed Yes	26c	1,500$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390	41	31.7%13 W · 28 L	+4.3wins	+0.11per pick	21cpaid	+85.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5bb5…abf6backed Yes	15c	1,500$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No	74c	1,481$1,095 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$385.72	697	72.6%506 W · 191 L	+83.8wins	+0.12per pick	61cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes	32c	1,471$477 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$476.79	70	44.3%31 W · 39 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?this page
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-24?Yes won
Will Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event