Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8cdb6138e76f5d4c9874ca9f14fe1aa0c9c1bd97a61eda3e09acb0ccf3274ee3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $318,562
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $339,706
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $318,562 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes | 15c | 35,000$5,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,249.98 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Yes | 19c | 26,316$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 75c | 21,563$16,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,491.99 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 20c | 15,716$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x046b…340dbacked Yes | 22c | 10,772$2,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,362.56 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 80c | 8,434$6,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,686.87 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked No | 68c | 8,115$5,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,603.19 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +14.1wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 53c | 7,542$3,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,554.22 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 20c | 6,270$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.85 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…6b59backed Yes | 1c | 5,555$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cff…eeb8backed Yes | 0c | 5,062$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -91%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 34c | 4,749$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.8 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 73c | 4,362$3,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.53 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5a…0122backed Yes | 15c | 4,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 17c | 3,719$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.06 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 67c | 3,304$2,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,229.75 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 79c | 3,173$2,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.2 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 77c | 2,640$2,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.16 | 146 | 58.9%86 W · 60 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6afc…f7ddbacked No | 26c | 2,558$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,897.13 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 32c | 2,469$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.34 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 60c | 2,294$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.11 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 15c | 2,236$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.95 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…3fe8backed Yes | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 27c | 1,886$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.18 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180a…54a6backed Yes | 19c | 1,748$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 44c | 1,746$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.48 | 149 | 75.8%113 W · 36 L | +26.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 31c | 1,737$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.5 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 24c | 1,581$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.05 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc20…2d0dbacked Yes | 35c | 1,569$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 75c | 1,380$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.87 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 263 | 19.8%52 W · 211 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88bf…0933backed Yes | 74c | 1,081$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a71…f051backed Yes | 28c | 1,072$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.97 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 17c | 1,041$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.18 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9dddbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 93 | 3.2%3 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 61c | 965.39$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed No | 76c | 942.9$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.4 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0705…a86fbacked Yes | 14c | 921.57$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fd…3ebfbacked Yes | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 18c | 798.28$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.56 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 33c | 766.81$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.33 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 25c | 684.67$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.42 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d7…2968backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 15c | 656.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 181 | 23.2%42 W · 139 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…b1cebacked Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…0170backed Yes | 16c | 561.98$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.82 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 52c | 556$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.81 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…da96backed Yes | 3c | 534.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…6ca4backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f4…f3dabacked Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 17c | 520.57$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.52 | 382 | 33.2%127 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc056…e188backed Yes | 19c | 510.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…650cbacked No | 72c | 500.32$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fe…b350backed Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 78c | 497.7$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.82 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked Yes | 15c | 453.4$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.01 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 74c | 400.53$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.64 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec8…762abacked Yes | 9c | 394$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 15c | 393.84$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.72 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 79c | 350.92$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 223 | 56.5%126 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x555b…c93dbacked Yes | 76c | 342$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.58 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -45%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Yes | 15c | 340.19$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.03 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 74c | 338.47$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.51 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7858…a5eabacked Yes | 14c | 334.84$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.88 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661b…b029backed Yes | 30c | 333.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked Yes | 24c | 330$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes | 29c | 330$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.7 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ec…a9c4backed Yes | 36c | 319.22$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.92 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 36c | 318.5$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.66 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +11.5wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c66…5ab3backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 27c | 308.63$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.98 | 364 | 62.9%229 W · 135 L | +32.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94bf…ee06backed Yes | 15c | 290.53$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.58 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 16c | 266$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50b0…ccc3backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf16…b3eabacked Yes | 19c | 263$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd4…c870backed Yes | 34c | 258.65$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.94 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 63c | 256.48$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.05 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes | 54c | 247$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc96…1245backed Yes | 69c | 244.03$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.79 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 69c | 244$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.09 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…d960backed Yes | 18c | 240.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.38 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb72d…f11ebacked Yes | 26c | 230.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 28c | 230$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.79 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec2…26d7backed Yes | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x080d…6854backed Yes | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb62…288ebacked Yes | 24c | 204.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +115.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…8529backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…1e55backed Yes | 27c | 200$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…63f7backed Yes | 75c | 200$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.43 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb0…c615backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 67c | 197.53$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.53 | 206 | 51.9%107 W · 99 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…03e5backed Yes | 33c | 190.67$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.92 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…4b19backed Yes | 22c | 188.47$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 24c | 187.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 125 | 31.2%39 W · 86 L | -11.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-24?Yes won
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.