TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x080d…6854

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
59
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: La Liga, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 52 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$487Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+184.9%+$900.35
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,953Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,953
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,466.67
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$621Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$621.26
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$143
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$160.39
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.2
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+139.3%+$348.61
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$390
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$577Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$902.49
All 15 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Blast: Surrey vs Hampshirebacked Surrey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.95
ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lankabacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
T20 Blast: Leicestershire vs Derbyshirebacked Leicestershire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
T20 Blast: Kent vs Sussexbacked Kent · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+238.2%+$93.39
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+134.2%+$161.05
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$564Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+83.6%+$471.63
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.78
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$212.5
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+258.6%+$256.87
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.66
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$123
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$128.57
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$128.57
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+35.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangersbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$96.42
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$533Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$533.12
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$116.67
All 4 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$488.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Oksana Selekhmetevabacked Oksana Selekhmeteva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$167
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.