Serie A · resolved market
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f1d09ab9b7fda83cceef005d7f34a14786b8390c440565a3c321ea371fc80ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,585
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,695
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,585 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes | 14c | 23,000$3,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,220 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 12c | 10,150$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.19 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 17c | 3,658$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.88 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 14c | 3,645$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.55 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 13c | 3,561$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.27 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 18c | 2,590$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.64 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…a8febacked Yes | 13c | 1,940$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.2 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 15c | 1,853$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 78c | 1,162$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.93 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +6.4wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x353c…01d9backed Yes | 14c | 1,071$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5546…e3cfbacked Yes | 11c | 1,024$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 20cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 129 | 20.2%26 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed Yes | 3c | 896.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d7…2968backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 18c | 700$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 14c | 680.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.34 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 22c | 676.15$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.75 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 14c | 666$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.24 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x600c…908bbacked Yes | 15c | 659.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…52b7backed Yes | 17c | 507.34$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1159…6228backed Yes | 7c | 439.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Yes | 14c | 435.36$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.95 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 9c | 402.62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.21 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x867b…9fbabacked Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a51…f305backed Yes | 14c | 353.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x080d…6854backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…d53ebacked Yes | 14c | 321.43$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce1…8dc0backed Yes | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…9a45backed Yes | 12c | 259.06$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97fe…f330backed Yes | 14c | 235.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e88…0c70backed Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Yes | 15c | 213$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 134 | 47.8%64 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6afc…f7ddbacked No | 79c | 184$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5192…df62backed Yes | 15c | 181.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked Yes | 8c | 173.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x037f…dd7ebacked Yes | 16c | 160$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8356…16b7backed Yes | 14c | 158.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Yes | 25c | 150.48$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 14c | 135.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes | 11c | 107$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadc2…7374backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 19c | 75.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b8…599bbacked No | 76c | 28.02$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed No | 79c | 15.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-17?this page
- Will AS Roma vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?No won
- Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.