Serie A · resolved market
Will AS Roma vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82138c661dc92caef47f60e1141c9635db3b7f4673191fb95e1228d9b9814663
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,295
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,067
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,295 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 14c | 5,777$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.93 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 76c | 4,013$3,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.87 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 19c | 2,632$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 22c | 2,214$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.86 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 77c | 1,552$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.17 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 78c | 1,490$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.86 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 25c | 1,145$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.41 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 24c | 1,138$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.2 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5a…0122backed Yes | 23c | 1,087$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 10c | 1,075$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.28 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f78…1141backed Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 22c | 889.63$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.72 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b20…de61backed No | 78c | 798.72$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.72 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Yes | 8c | 624.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 22c | 583.41$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.35 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f7…232cbacked Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7803…c9afbacked Yes | 5c | 411.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed No | 78c | 391.9$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.22 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 77c | 381.9$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.84 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 22c | 336.15$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.92 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +85%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked Yes | 12c | 327.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.51 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 13c | 320.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 227 | 43.2%98 W · 129 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 4c | 289.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 77c | 273$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.79 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 16c | 270.68$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.23 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 72c | 223.46$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.67 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x600c…908bbacked Yes | 23c | 205.3$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d9…c160backed Yes | 10c | 184.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 22c | 172.08$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.86 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 80c | 140$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 182 | 53.8%98 W · 84 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 32c | 117.95$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8356…16b7backed Yes | 24c | 106.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e41…ca06backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb009…7a8ebacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 78c | 99.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 23c | 99.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 80c | 90$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 24c | 85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 146 | 51.4%75 W · 71 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Yes | 23c | 77.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 79c | 76.5$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 77c | 71.9$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25b9…a36fbacked Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe340…3adcbacked Yes | 23c | 60.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 78c | 60.36$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 210 | 54.3%114 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7790…f271backed No | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…0b2bbacked Yes | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…c7a6backed Yes | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9982…8b06backed No | 78c | 54.63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 78c | 54.55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 78c | 50.22$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 25c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 70c | 35.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 68cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 78c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AS Roma vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?this page
- Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-17?Yes won
- Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.