TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$310,846
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$362,159

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $310,846 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 326 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No34c25,941$8,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,907.112,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes65c19,102$12,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,713.6313839.9%55 W · 83 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed No37c18,863$6,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,979.153259.4%19 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No35c15,735$5,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,507.6168750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No36c8,542$3,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,114.2527453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No29c8,496$2,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,433.0949850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked No36c8,000$2,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,88018923.8%45 W · 144 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x87a1…b6babacked Yes64c7,791$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7914070%28 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes62c7,728$4,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,936.6412153.7%65 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed No36c7,373$2,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,654.315752.6%30 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed Yes77c7,288$5,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,676.324744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+11.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Yes64c7,100$4,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,556944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No24c6,184$1,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,506.9932650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes66c5,608$3,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,934.1593252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No33c5,581$1,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,837.8634239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No46c5,388$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.785967.8%40 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9567…e505backed Yes66c5,381$3,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,850.692661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8884…f29bbacked Yes65c4,575$2,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,601.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes68c4,262$2,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,354.072466.7%16 W · 8 L+4.2wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+40.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes59c3,705$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,505.368052.5%42 W · 38 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x18de…7c92backed Yes78c3,461$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.083100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+44.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No36c3,045$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.198544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed Yes64c3,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0801346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Yes64c3,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0806142.6%26 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe12c…e7c7backed Yes64c2,680$1,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.74666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No36c2,629$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.7241144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No36c2,620$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.7936456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes52c2,577$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.164463.6%28 W · 16 L+6.4wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+22.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x34b8…81afbacked Yes78c2,567$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.15616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick55cpaid-78.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9976…59acbacked No43c2,517$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.7540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-35.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No36c2,493$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.1124953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes56c2,275$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.5743058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No52c2,187$1,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,136.945459.3%32 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes64c2,030$1,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.6933951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10d4…ea4fbacked Yes63c2,022$1,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.3425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-60.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ca4…db18backed Yes63c1,746$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d4e…6478backed Yes57c1,739$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.88944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No37c1,707$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.7930828.9%89 W · 219 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes61c1,635$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.461233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-48.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6afc…f7ddbacked Yes55c1,633$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.47966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed No12c1,616$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.19837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick29cpaid-23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Yes62c1,613$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.91915.8%3 W · 16 L-4.5wins-0.24per pick39cpaid-61.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No36c1,600$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.6441954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Yes65c1,538$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.461361.5%8 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick71cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x973f…dc4ebacked Yes66c1,517$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.262100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed No35c1,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9024…1314backed Yes65c1,436$934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x276b…8a8bbacked Yes65c1,314$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.93366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8105…3287backed Yes65c1,268$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.792356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes57c1,140$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.353464.7%22 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick65cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd1f…f0d8backed Yes79c1,139$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.24580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+39%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No35c1,113$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.5440447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes65c1,031$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.7713553.3%72 W · 63 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No35c1,022$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.8412350.4%62 W · 61 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes68c1,017$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.729862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36012357.7%71 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37010451%53 W · 51 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Yes64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3602969%20 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64c4…1018backed No36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36018951.3%97 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ae5…6079backed No36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e9…1c08backed Yes62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3806100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+57%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed No22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+28.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Yes53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.43754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Yes78c863.41$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.95875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+31.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37ef…56f2backed Yes65c800$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No36c714$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.3646047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No35c713.77$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.4138547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes79c713.19$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.925955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed No36c700$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25210940.4%44 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc864…97dfbacked No36c699.99$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2521931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked No36c694.44$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504320.9%9 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-32%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0db…56d5backed Yes65c692.31$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.312161.9%13 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes65c692.31$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.31666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6e3…3fe8backed No35c659.99$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2311947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+31.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4a3…801cbacked Yes77c649.35$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.352100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked No40c596.38$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.982250%11 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+49.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed No29c586.01$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.874835.4%17 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-13.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04cf…9f77backed Yes62c585.45$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.471172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.26per pick47cpaid+38.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked No49c584.34$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.886132.8%20 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No36c583.08$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.7435646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes74c577.11$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.5939740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes64c562.5$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.58644.2%38 W · 48 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe891…4b25backed Yes65c552.71$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.456850%34 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x23e4…e501backed No37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ff1…c554backed Yes65c538.46$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.46633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick70cpaid-50.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes57c526.61$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.614639.1%18 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes64c514.48$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.2119952.8%105 W · 94 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes62c510.7$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.2426241.2%108 W · 154 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0afb…d23dbacked Yes65c507.45$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.61825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-49.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No12c506$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.777042.9%30 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked No24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12012920.2%26 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6adf…4f5bbacked No24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1207150.7%36 W · 35 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed No10c499.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508158%47 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed No37c499.97$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.991450%7 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+27.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c0a…cbc9backed Yes61c491.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.81353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed No46c490.77$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.75944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1218…1ec3backed Yes65c477.37$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Yes63c477$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1777248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked No34c470.27$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1594658.7%27 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+21.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.