TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3e88…0c70

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
171
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT12532.8%41 W · 84 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 125 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. England: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
France vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$34.15
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+330.1%+$58.76
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
France vs. Spain: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Switzerland reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Harry Kane: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$58.33
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$56.43
Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$63.47
Romelu Lukaku: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 125 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT100%0 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Austria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.67
Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+95.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid0%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$44.94
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.5
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Austin FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.84
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.