La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09086e7fa2ac4a2da3026a4f3dcafdffee9bbf04df9307d3a3f91413824b33d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $197,515
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $216,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $197,515 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec92…6b59backed Yes | 1c | 22,722$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.78 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +987.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x893b…b1b4backed Yes | 12c | 20,250$2,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,439.27 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 5c | 10,547$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.16 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b2…0945backed Yes | 12c | 9,171$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.1 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 12c | 7,820$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.68 | 198 | 40.4%80 W · 118 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Yes | 11c | 6,741$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.47 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 12c | 4,835$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.41 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 12c | 4,150$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498 | 155 | 16.1%25 W · 130 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 4c | 3,888$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.05 | 228 | 59.6%136 W · 92 L | +18.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe699…8dc2backed Yes | 4c | 3,278$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 6c | 3,222$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.76 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 19c | 3,204$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.76 | 81 | 70.4%57 W · 24 L | +10.8wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9976…59acbacked No | 79c | 2,138$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.76 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 10c | 2,083$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.18 | 128 | 23.4%30 W · 98 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e57…a79abacked Yes | 12c | 1,250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 12c | 924.21$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 79 | 27.8%22 W · 57 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62da…040abacked Yes | 11c | 901.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacec…0947backed Yes | 11c | 861.82$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Yes | 11c | 857$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.27 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 24c | 750.02$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.97 | 237 | 62.9%149 W · 88 L | +21.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Yes | 11c | 720$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 7c | 650.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.43 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 16c | 538.46$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.58 | 189 | 56.6%107 W · 82 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…e46cbacked Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fe…b350backed Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38dc…b392backed Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde3d…6b1fbacked Yes | 5c | 423.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe662…8954backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…57c1backed Yes | 4c | 410.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9875…b23fbacked Yes | 8c | 368.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b11…a9cabacked Yes | 4c | 350$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 11c | 339$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.29 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Yes | 12c | 303.75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +9.9wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 12c | 291.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 206 | 30.6%63 W · 143 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…8c7fbacked Yes | 12c | 284$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e8…ef2bbacked Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…95a6backed Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88b3…c085backed Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd557…416fbacked Yes | 6c | 235.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Yes | 12c | 212.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe340…3adcbacked Yes | 5c | 211.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 13c | 200.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5db…f982backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e88…0c70backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…0163backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…2b05backed Yes | 8c | 158.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 97 | 21.6%21 W · 76 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc53a…d59bbacked Yes | 11c | 145.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1575…ff06backed Yes | 11c | 127.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815b…a1c7backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067e…625bbacked Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 11c | 123.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 440 | 39.3%173 W · 267 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Yes | 25c | 119$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…d702backed Yes | 12c | 108.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…5099backed Yes | 14c | 108.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 13c | 106.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 12c | 100.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7689…dd2bbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…f67dbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41fb…b6b0backed Yes | 11c | 93.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 74c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-17?this page
- Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.