La Liga · resolved market
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x756351744e2638f97255864f216759125f81bd5cc555cf9dbe78f9e7175e1c82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,067
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,529
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,067 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 7c | 2,905$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.02 | 228 | 59.6%136 W · 92 L | +18.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…c55dbacked Yes | 17c | 2,234$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a57…fb43backed Yes | 16c | 1,875$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 16c | 1,663$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.23 | 198 | 40.4%80 W · 118 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe699…8dc2backed Yes | 12c | 1,290$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…8efebacked Yes | 18c | 1,116$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 15c | 972.39$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.86 | 79 | 27.8%22 W · 57 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 16c | 843.75$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 10c | 744.96$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.3 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72fc…b1fbbacked Yes | 11c | 716.68$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 16c | 624.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 440 | 39.3%173 W · 267 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 12c | 560.35$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.28 | 136 | 58.1%79 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9976…59acbacked Yes | 5c | 551$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x177c…bcd1backed Yes | 20c | 516.2$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.24 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +50%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Yes | 15c | 499.96$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…49e2backed Yes | 16c | 496.18$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 16c | 454.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…4d0abacked Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +63%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f90…7c9ebacked Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…1f7bbacked Yes | 18c | 220$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 16c | 211.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7f…0492backed Yes | 6c | 207.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +107%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Yes | 12c | 205.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…79bdbacked Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b3…c085backed Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9875…b23fbacked Yes | 11c | 158.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc97c…cdf6backed Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6de8…f103backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…075ebacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…a117backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 23.7%18 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52bc…4e1cbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +118.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…6fcfbacked Yes | 15c | 123.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 16c | 120$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 268 | 53%142 W · 126 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…2b05backed Yes | 14c | 107.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 97 | 21.6%21 W · 76 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe340…3adcbacked Yes | 11c | 103.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f27…fc32backed Yes | 15c | 79.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41fb…b6b0backed Yes | 17c | 72.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…1006backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d0…0736backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…276abacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf23a…d412backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x903e…2829backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 206 | 30.6%63 W · 143 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?Yes won
- Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.