TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1f27…fc32

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
103
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Premier League, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 51 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2540%10 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$57.27
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$79.06
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$45.26
Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$85
Will Chelsea FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+614.3%+$86
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$105.32
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+616.3%+$119.56
Will Hull City AFC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11.05
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$59
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
Will Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+328.6%+$69
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+37%+$27.74
Will Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+406.9%+$88.3
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$80.4
Will Arsenal FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+28.2%+$22
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+143.9%+$21.59
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Will Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 25 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2250%11 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$220.42
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$31.29
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$25.67
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29.82
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$42.43
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+37%+$11.1
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.7
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+369.5%+$77.59
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$16.15
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 22 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT2133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.45
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$25.53
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+376.2%+$112.86
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$116
Will CA Osasuna vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$76.65
Will Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will Girona FC win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+733.3%+$88
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$45.15
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+129.1%+$98.04
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$17.5
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+61.3%+$38.61
Will Valencia CF vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15.8
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+33.3%+$26.67
Will Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$59
Will Real Racing Club vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+25%+$20
All 21 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$387
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$425Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$283.33
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$266
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$134
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$225.33
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32.94
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$93.46
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.3
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$68.42
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.23
All 10 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-47.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-45.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+60.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-67.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid+156.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSV win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$85.8
Will FC Volendam vs. PSV end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.