TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-05-13?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$98,006
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$103,553

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,006 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes57c12,740$7,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,475.3523858%138 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No42c12,061$5,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,022.537549.3%37 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No43c8,273$3,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,575.511,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No34c5,467$1,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,881.9699340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes55c5,454$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,454.321547.9%103 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f42…a8febacked Yes57c5,414$3,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,328.022100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes75c3,491$2,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.9314761.2%90 W · 57 L+20.8wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+43.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked No43c2,500$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,075450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No42c2,466$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.7453040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked No53c2,100$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,106.81752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Yes59c2,000$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8306851.5%35 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84053046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No49c1,833$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.658560%51 W · 34 L+9.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed No31c1,813$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.6710319.4%20 W · 83 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No42c1,788$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.21,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Yes43c1,651$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.1616453%87 W · 77 L+20.7wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+40%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No43c1,600$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.9917258.1%100 W · 72 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4e1…62a2backed Yes51c1,558$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.43479.4%27 W · 7 L+9.3wins+0.27per pick52cpaid+81.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No45c1,378$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.318655.4%103 W · 83 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes58c1,368$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.6215748.4%76 W · 81 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No42c1,307$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.8210450%52 W · 52 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No43c1,200$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5168547.1%40 W · 45 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No43c1,200$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51612263.1%77 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes56c1,032$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.011,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes74c1,000$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26552639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ae5…6079backed No43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4301850%9 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes53c949.8$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.84325.6%11 W · 32 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked No44c856.79$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.991942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Yes54c747.36$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.594862.5%30 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes71c745.97$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.675068%34 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No43c699.99$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30112661.1%77 W · 49 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes58c688.45$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.3997146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes58c633.25$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.9742947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2003…af6fbacked Yes43c612.73$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.253040%12 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No43c600$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25815858.2%92 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No43c592$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.5611055.5%61 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes59c582.9$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.9972850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No34c528.2$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.2892346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21514359.4%85 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked No45c467$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.433636.1%13 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Yes69c467$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.0422042.7%94 W · 126 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No43c454.55$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.5320249%99 W · 103 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Yes57c435.95$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.463767.6%25 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No41c433$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.9937649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No43c400$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17216960.9%103 W · 66 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No43c400$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17214257.7%82 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes51c362.41$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.947240.7%192 W · 280 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Yes59c340.02$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.021258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+28.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes57c326.68$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.9968150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcaf…c830backed Yes61c318$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.0219960.8%121 W · 78 L+22.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+23.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdff2…2e27backed Yes61c318$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.7216856%94 W · 74 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No42c313.99$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.874548.9%22 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No41c308.08$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.3112146.3%56 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes79c306.01$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.8677751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Yes55c304.47$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.3710249%50 W · 52 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes58c304$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.6770249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12915060%90 W · 60 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes58c300$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12535149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12913158.8%77 W · 54 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ca2…1d74backed No28c278.13$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.94616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes55c272.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.733432.4%11 W · 23 L-7.4wins-0.22per pick54cpaid-41%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x02f7…dd8fbacked Yes56c272.25$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.792055%11 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No31c261.53$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.1820648.5%100 W · 106 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No43c260$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.811759%69 W · 48 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No43c260$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.812162%75 W · 46 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes63c255$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.481,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes50c241.9$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.0835247.7%168 W · 184 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes53c237.51$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.323,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x864a…7cacbacked No48c227.96$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.52965.5%19 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked No44c225.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007758.4%45 W · 32 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Yes55c218.18$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.183844.7%17 W · 21 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-21.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x404c…5c87backed Yes48c212$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.2420660.7%125 W · 81 L+19.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No44c202.26$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.580358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Yes57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867140.8%29 W · 42 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No35c170.9$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6025652.3%134 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes65c169.98$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.4919073.7%140 W · 50 L+18.6wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes55c165.93$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.316657.2%95 W · 71 L+12.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Yes52c163$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.242343.5%10 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-25.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa774…005fbacked No58c160$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.361163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No43c160$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.814459.7%86 W · 58 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Yes57c158.07$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.626847.1%32 W · 36 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No43c156$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.0814660.3%88 W · 58 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No43c156$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.0814459.7%86 W · 58 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No44c135.77$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4698945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked Yes71c134.62$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.041392.3%12 W · 1 L+4.1wins+0.31per pick61cpaid+53.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No43c134$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2691553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No27c131.53$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3580249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes59c119.2$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6296756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes43c115.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.919555.8%53 W · 42 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+30.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No42c112.32$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4354949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes54c111.1$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1155750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3e7…83e0backed No46c106$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f27…fc32backed Yes57c102$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.86633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-47.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510757%61 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked No42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429858.2%57 W · 41 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4316955.6%94 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4313461.2%82 W · 52 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x256b…97bbbacked Yes55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.91933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-41.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed No42c85$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.76065%39 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd5c7…c6bdbacked No28c84$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.521926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-52.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.