Mls · resolved market
Will Real Salt Lake vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee25aa114239bdf42b67f3db875ddc5dbe42e042aa64f80d1cdea0999d44d4bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,775
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,513
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,775 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 77c | 2,604$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.52 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 23c | 2,542$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.67 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 25c | 2,387$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.26 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 2,210$1,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.15 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 23c | 1,605$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.16 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked No | 80c | 816.48$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.64 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | +20.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 755.67$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.1 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 77c | 634.41$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.02 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 6c | 576.27$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 17c | 522$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.52 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Yes | 23c | 479.9$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.38 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 23c | 431.43$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.24 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 28c | 399$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.5 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 77c | 369.43$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.6 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 77c | 358.12$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.37 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 78c | 289.06$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.58 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 245$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.82 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 19c | 243.66$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes | 5c | 240$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed No | 76c | 186$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.14 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 25c | 165.32$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.02 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1deb…db10backed No | 70c | 130.61$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 25c | 111.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed No | 75c | 110$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f27…fc32backed Yes | 24c | 102$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 77c | 97$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacfc…f2fdbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -38%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 81.27$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 13c | 76.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Yes | 23c | 76.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed Yes | 16c | 75.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 30c | 70.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 72c | 59.65$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed No | 77c | 49.21$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 77c | 45.73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 122 | 54.9%67 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed No | 70c | 43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 77c | 42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 77c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 76c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked No | 76c | 23.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7a…bdb5backed No | 77c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 78c | 17.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.93 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 77c | 15.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.51 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Salt Lake vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?this page
- Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-05-13?No won
- Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-05-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.