Mls · resolved market
Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-05-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaecd82f3528edb2eb2a460a6d19e32bb4e95df7e311a963ab5529991af96cdd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,413
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,948
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,413 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 3,228$2,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.07 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 20c | 2,931$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.11 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Yes | 25c | 2,436$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.82 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 19c | 2,429$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.57 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 19c | 2,368$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 24c | 2,297$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 19c | 2,091$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.75 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Yes | 19c | 1,815$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.77 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 19c | 1,793$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.59 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 20c | 1,565$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.68 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 77c | 1,453$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.56 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 80c | 1,316$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.76 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 20c | 1,250$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Yes | 27c | 999.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.83 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 79c | 940.14$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.43 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 869.18$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.2 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 17c | 742.11$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.03 | 103 | 19.4%20 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 19c | 728.41$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.44 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 19c | 704.32$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 23c | 675$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.65 | 161 | 37.9%61 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…73e0backed Yes | 25c | 624$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked No | 80c | 548.99$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.8 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 19c | 499.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.47 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 19c | 483.8$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.92 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 75c | 397.37$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.37 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 80c | 361.67$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.4 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 19c | 352.71$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.01 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 19c | 296.16$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…0a11backed Yes | 26c | 257.19$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.87 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 17c | 225.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.54 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed No | 77c | 212$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed No | 79c | 212$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.9 | 206 | 60.7%125 W · 81 L | +19.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 20c | 201.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | -8.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 21c | 199.8$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 14c | 199.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…2aa3backed Yes | 15c | 197.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Yes | 20c | 170.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 79c | 164.8$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.66 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 18c | 160.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 20c | 160$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…1c3fbacked No | 80c | 146.23$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -75%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 19c | 145.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 79c | 125.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 19c | 125$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 79c | 120$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Yes | 23c | 110.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacfc…f2fdbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -38%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f27…fc32backed Yes | 20c | 102$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f21…3bcebacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 17cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 75c | 80.49$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed Yes | 26c | 75.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 79c | 67$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9e…2264backed Yes | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 77c | 58.13$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 75c | 58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc67…6f13backed No | 75c | 54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked No | 77c | 50.08$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed No | 75c | 49$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5b…acdcbacked Yes | 21c | 48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 25c | 45.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 74c | 39.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed No | 76c | 37.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 76c | 37.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 80c | 37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 78c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked No | 80c | 30.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 80c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 78c | 23.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7a…bdb5backed No | 78c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked No | 77c | 15.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.61 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 77c | 14.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.33 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 78c | 14.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-05-13?this page
- Will Real Salt Lake vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-05-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.