Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c87e6ed4c4726ac95f2acbc0cf504aacda31a5238b3578858cb55365069102a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,541
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $121,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,541 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 29c | 5,435$1,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.01 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…a42abacked Yes | 14c | 4,858$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,177.88 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 37c | 3,226$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.12 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 75c | 2,666$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.63 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 28c | 2,623$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.41 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb9…f325backed Yes | 14c | 2,622$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,254.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 11cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d32…af01backed Yes | 14c | 2,279$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,962.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +259.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed No | 49c | 1,963$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.06 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 16c | 1,882$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581.88 | 181 | 23.2%42 W · 139 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 13c | 1,539$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.16 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…9a02backed Yes | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 14c | 1,249$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.68 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 50c | 1,193$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.51 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa761…46c1backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…edaabacked Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Yes | 10c | 922.22$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.22 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked No | 4c | 773.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb441…89a1backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.23 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +60%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f8…2714backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.56 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +199.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6768…692dbacked Yes | 13c | 547.23$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.09 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 10c | 515.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.93 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Yes | 14c | 500$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b34…c545backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 45c | 495$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.78 | 250 | 52%130 W · 120 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 11c | 461.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.82 | 121 | 39.7%48 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.62 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa69a…3360backed Yes | 11c | 365.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.08 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed No | 43c | 357.59$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.06 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…d571backed Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Yes | 61c | 316.84$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.54 | 70 | 82.9%58 W · 12 L | +14.5wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb902…8105backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.78 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4e…6e96backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.78 | 67 | 20.9%14 W · 53 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 14c | 267$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.73 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 14c | 250$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.62 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 11c | 247$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.07 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63f9…0f1bbacked Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +117.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2079…33d8backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…94b8backed Yes | 13c | 190$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.3 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 21cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 80c | 174$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23de…05c1backed Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.67 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9973…cc32backed Yes | 14c | 164.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.29 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 24cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…f632backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.85 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 13c | 149.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.38 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a99…c413backed Yes | 9c | 144.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.44 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a0…da0dbacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.86 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.86 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec60…9423backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.86 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe647…c9aabacked Yes | 12c | 139.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.28 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…a117backed Yes | 15c | 138.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.64 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 13c | 130.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.23 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea7b…5b6dbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 107 | 26.2%28 W · 79 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2d…54cfbacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.27per pick | 37cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 53c | 114.61$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce11…4a49backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed Yes | 17c | 109.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.42 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4287…3d5ebacked Yes | 20c | 108.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.28 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f27…fc32backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b2…5f43backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.5 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74c9…a149backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +173.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2807…27d5backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b35…12b3backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 12c | 98.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.88 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…70bcbacked Yes | 13c | 98.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.76 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5a…bf0abacked Yes | 78c | 96.15$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 14c | 89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.67 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed Yes | 50c | 66.22$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.11 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 62c | 66$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 734 | 58.6%430 W · 304 L | +47.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 17c | 65.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.63 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa885…84debacked Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked No | 64c | 23.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 426 | 58%247 W · 179 L | +24.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…a583backed Yes | 78c | 23.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 74c | 14.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 255 | 30.2%77 W · 178 L | -22.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Burnley FC win on 2026-02-21?No won
- Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.