Premier League · resolved market
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-02-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70bdbeb829ecda0ab3eaebec7d906c317505c7b73a9cdbf780ed0443e73d5701
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $247,976
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $249,671
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $247,976 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 1c | 51,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 6c | 8,819$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.14 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 7c | 7,680$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.6 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 6c | 7,634$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.02 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 6c | 7,001$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.07 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 9c | 5,649$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.2 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed Yes | 6c | 4,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | +13.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 6c | 3,978$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.89 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 3c | 3,961$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.83 | 263 | 19.8%52 W · 211 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 7c | 3,893$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.48 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2263…ac78backed Yes | 6c | 3,089$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed Yes | 6c | 3,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Yes | 7c | 2,900$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Yes | 2c | 2,777$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd857…c092backed Yes | 3c | 2,660$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.04 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb9…f325backed Yes | 7c | 2,622$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 11cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9973…cc32backed Yes | 7c | 2,377$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 24cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d32…af01backed Yes | 6c | 2,279$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +259.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes | 1c | 2,210$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 13.2%7 W · 46 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Yes | 7c | 2,108$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…21adbacked Yes | 7c | 2,100$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed Yes | 6c | 1,999$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.95 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked Yes | 2c | 1,701$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +210.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 23.2%26 W · 86 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…9a02backed Yes | 8c | 1,252$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 7c | 1,214$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 4c | 1,210$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.71 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 6c | 1,173$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.38 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86be…4490backed Yes | 8c | 1,150$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…95dabacked Yes | 5c | 999.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 4c | 978.89$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Yes | 6c | 875.84$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.55 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b64…707bbacked Yes | 7c | 800$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…d571backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4e…6e96backed Yes | 3c | 700$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 67 | 20.9%14 W · 53 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa69a…3360backed Yes | 5c | 619.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 6c | 600$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 7c | 600$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 204 | 25%51 W · 153 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 6c | 583$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 4c | 538.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 286 | 33.9%97 W · 189 L | +19.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 3c | 512.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf032…ad8cbacked Yes | 6c | 499.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 3c | 499.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x531a…8681backed Yes | 3c | 470.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -47%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Yes | 8c | 443.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 122 | 36.1%44 W · 78 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 7c | 376.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Yes | 3c | 357.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 75 | 22.7%17 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa038…3fcbbacked Yes | 3c | 357.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 7c | 333.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea7b…5b6dbacked Yes | 5c | 309.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 107 | 26.2%28 W · 79 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 300 | 50.3%151 W · 149 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2e…8abfbacked Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 7c | 243.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 116 | 28.4%33 W · 83 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Yes | 7c | 241.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 7c | 240.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 202 | 46.5%94 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae7…35a9backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b49…178dbacked Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a6…92bcbacked Yes | 8c | 212.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8979…3e4abacked Yes | 7c | 202$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…0720backed Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 8c | 142.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…df18backed Yes | 8c | 140.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Burnley FC win on 2026-02-21?this page
- Will Chelsea FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.