TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$909,038
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$870,197

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $909,038 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 383 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No19c69,296$13,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,886.952,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No18c63,132$11,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,770.556,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No19c61,121$11,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,533.121,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No19c46,787$8,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,850.2331944.5%142 W · 177 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No20c26,980$5,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,58410236.3%37 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No17c22,573$3,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,695.722,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd414…6a0cbacked No19c21,000$3,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,079.922650%13 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No19c18,398$3,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,978.1524146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No19c18,013$3,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,592.031,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No65c14,048$9,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,867.3641344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No18c13,500$2,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,069.8535652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No20c10,396$2,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,328.9375850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No20c9,885$1,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,907.885048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked No19c9,228$1,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,508.875455.6%30 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No21c8,832$1,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,976.9612847.7%61 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No19c7,900$1,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,389.921,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed No20c7,500$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,0002360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+54.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No16c7,490$1,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,286.3810042%42 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5064…3ba3backed No20c7,250$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,799.981942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x583f…2dabbacked Yes7c7,178$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.675232.7%17 W · 35 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+210.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No21c7,131$1,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,633.4921253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed No18c7,000$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,71015748.4%76 W · 81 L+13.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked No19c6,483$1,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,240.263745.9%17 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed No19c6,000$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,89015944.7%71 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked No19c5,902$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,796.997252.8%38 W · 34 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+29.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked No19c5,159$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,179.093246.9%15 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+27.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No56c5,146$2,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,263.9628736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes80c5,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00011349.6%56 W · 57 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked No20c5,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,999.993855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x87a1…b6babacked Yes80c4,875$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9001361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe831…a42abacked Yes80c4,838$3,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,870.43145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid+11.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd472…cc7cbacked Yes80c4,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,200250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick80cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No19c4,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,239.924862.5%30 W · 18 L+6.4wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+38.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No19c4,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,239.9218362.3%114 W · 69 L+17.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa051…54ebbacked No21c3,810$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,009.521361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick43cpaid+65.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No19c3,642$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,958.914,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaf67…eee6backed Yes80c3,250$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6001855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4ba…f893backed No20c3,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,400837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+41.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No30c2,711$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,901.0526319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No76c2,666$2,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.6569772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Yes79c2,500$1,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,97515952.2%83 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No18c2,500$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,05051750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6adf…4f5bbacked Yes80c2,500$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-29.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed No11c2,460$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,189.387149.3%35 W · 36 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4279…7bf8backed Yes80c2,283$1,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,826.410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No18c2,275$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,854.2277236.4%281 W · 491 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No16c1,988$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,675.751,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed No20c1,980$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,586.796046.7%28 W · 32 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No13c1,926$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,675.658153.1%43 W · 38 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed No14c1,683$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4412857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked No19c1,537$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,251.6312136.4%44 W · 77 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No18c1,519$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,245.5825544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes56c1,504$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.9861143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe19a…abafbacked Yes80c1,500$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2003641.7%15 W · 21 L-6.3wins-0.18per pick59cpaid-27%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed No17c1,500$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,252.510924.8%27 W · 82 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No20c1,500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.9960728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked No18c1,476$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,210.310448.1%50 W · 54 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes79c1,459$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152.6123350.2%117 W · 116 L-14.9wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No11c1,347$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.241,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No20c1,328$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.241,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed No15c1,300$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10522534.2%77 W · 148 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes52c1,295$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.893959%23 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes79c1,272$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.2352454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc88b…af8bbacked No20c1,250$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0001650%8 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+64.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed Yes80c1,250$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007060%42 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99fb…acbabacked Yes80c1,205$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.731656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3a3…c2f9backed No21c1,190$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.482653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75fe…70eebacked No16c1,184$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.35728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick18cpaid+25.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa42e…9a1cbacked No20c1,164$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.021428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked No19c1,163$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943.696731.3%21 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No9c1,144$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.6874056.9%421 W · 319 L+46.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked No21c1,130$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.420425%51 W · 153 L+0.4wins0.00per pick25cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes80c1,063$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85049254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed No19c999.99$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8106759.7%40 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde6c…c5d8backed No19c999.96$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.977844.9%35 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No18c956.28$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.252,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No13c908.63$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.7219441.8%81 W · 113 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd606…9e01backed No18c894.44$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaeed…074bbacked No21c836$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.449943.4%43 W · 56 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a32…9875backed No31c816.06$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.45933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-27.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed Yes80c796.25$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6374553.3%24 W · 21 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+28.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed No20c730$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.556150.8%31 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes78c723.35$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.211,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No12c710$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.853134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fba…1404backed Yes80c700$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5602653.8%14 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick65cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd265…a7ecbacked No18c685.1$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.783943.6%17 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+18.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6aa7…db93backed Yes80c660.35$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.2820%0 W · 2 L-1.6wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x16fa…6d0dbacked Yes80c631.25$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%0 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No16c626$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.1946943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed68…236cbacked Yes79c600$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4748045%36 W · 44 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4457…f3e2backed No15c599.98$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.988919.1%17 W · 72 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-40%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc18…2ce9backed Yes33c592.71$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.684630.4%14 W · 32 L-6.2wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No19c583$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.2321049%103 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbffe…3f31backed Yes80c562.5$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4504344.2%19 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c01…af62backed Yes80c529.59$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.672759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e2d…40b1backed No19c526.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.327548%36 W · 39 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+29.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No19c526$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.0668942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No20c504.28$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.2539948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ec4…f4a4backed No20c500$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4002050%10 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60d1…0c8fbacked No25c500$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37512042.5%51 W · 69 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.