TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xaf67…eee6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
78
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst Champions League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT5457.4%31 W · 23 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Suns vs. Celticsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.8
Grizzlies vs. 76ersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$133
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,127.07
Hornets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,970Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$5,279.93
Clippers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$6,039Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+40.8%+$2,461.03
Hawks vs. Bucksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,820Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+112.8%+$3,179.97
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,275Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+100%+$1,275
Rockets vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+132.6%+$162.45
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,338Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+42.3%+$1,412.5
Grizzlies vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,890Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,890
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,556Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$1,555.5
Spurs vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$675Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$674.99
Thunder vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,160Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+38.9%+$840
Cavaliers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+156.4%+$915
Kings vs. Spursbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$136
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+47.1%+$160
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$260
Rockets vs. Hornetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,209Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+72.4%+$875.68
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$930Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$929.99
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,131Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+43.8%+$1,372.48
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$1,049.98
Kings vs. Pelicansbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,039.95
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,030Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+72.4%+$1,470
Jazz vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,109.99
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$936Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$936
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$2,600
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+100%+$500
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+29.9%+$73.34
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,699.98
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$825Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$825
Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$940Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+112.8%+$1,060
Will Tottenham win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,580Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+153.2%+$2,419.96
Will Tottenham win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$275
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,290Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$1,290
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,880Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+38.9%+$1,120
Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,195Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+170.3%+$2,034.95
Will Brentford win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$765Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$765
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$660
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,320Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+127.3%+$1,679.99
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,380Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+44.9%+$620
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+156.4%+$610
Will Fulham win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+122.2%+$45.65
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$82.5
All 18 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-42.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+101.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,230Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+143.9%+$1,770
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,260Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+58.7%+$740
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Bruinsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,137Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+75.4%+$1,612.49
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.