TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-29?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$257,673
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$285,995

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $257,673 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 216 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No16c61,249$9,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,646.526,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No2c20,651$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.256453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No15c11,162$1,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,643.671,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No1c10,263$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.266015%9 W · 51 L+0.2wins0.00per pick15cpaid-66.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Yes35c8,862$3,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,760.358940.4%36 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed No65c8,500$5,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,5257147.9%34 W · 37 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No63c6,390$4,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,025.5522744.5%101 W · 126 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes37c6,254$2,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,945.141,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No64c6,250$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00010455.8%58 W · 46 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes36c5,278$1,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,385.251,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked No54c4,959$2,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,675.0923741.8%99 W · 138 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2839…0efebacked Yes37c4,816$1,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,034.221952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb4a…4ef5backed No64c4,683$2,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,997.21933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No65c4,665$3,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,023.2510849.1%53 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed No63c4,438$2,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,796.2311346%52 W · 61 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No39c3,681$1,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,441.84,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5064…3ba3backed No63c3,230$2,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,035.041942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf67…eee6backed Yes37c3,230$1,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,034.951855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No63c3,045$1,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,914.490751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Yes36c2,819$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,804.0321853.2%116 W · 102 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8511…ed83backed Yes57c2,816$1,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2047035.7%25 W · 45 L-10.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xab0e…4b76backed Yes37c2,800$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,764742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Yes36c2,697$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,726.0811945.4%54 W · 65 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d9…717bbacked No63c2,420$1,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,526.792839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-29.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No59c2,141$1,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,263.692,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes37c2,050$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,291.568026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No64c2,000$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,28046651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6b4…1014backed Yes37c1,800$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1343231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Yes59c1,695$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.923647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes79c1,461$1,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.328736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ca3…590fbacked Yes37c1,381$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.197742.9%33 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No63c1,362$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.1225752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63df…36c4backed Yes37c1,351$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.352133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No59c1,024$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.3884549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda91…6cc9backed Yes36c1,017$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.672445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+38.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes37c1,003$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.77443.2%32 W · 42 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x180f…0c07backed Yes37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6303141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No62c999.96$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.9731053.2%165 W · 145 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafe8…93aebacked Yes37c810.81$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.81366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+77.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes35c699.99$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.9917833.7%60 W · 118 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb251…6f5bbacked No64c625.32$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40120750.2%104 W · 103 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No63c602.06$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.291,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe724…1938backed Yes37c600$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37811044.5%49 W · 61 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bae…55b5backed Yes38c599.5$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.698742.5%37 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x508e…648bbacked Yes52c585.14$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.521637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No43c573.22$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.081,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed Yes37c540.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.546838.2%26 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…1081backed Yes57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.327755.8%43 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes37c463$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.691,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed No12c455.33$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8615238.8%59 W · 93 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No62c415.57$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.641,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ed…617ebacked Yes37c405.41$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.412552%13 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes37c405.41$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.4122125.8%57 W · 164 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0db7…5c06backed Yes37c405.41$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.4117635.8%63 W · 113 L-12.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked No62c402.99$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.0917327.2%47 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No34c397.56$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.8342043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb86e…7395backed Yes37c389.19$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.193447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5dcf…75b9backed Yes80c375$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No63c359.98$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.7926247.7%125 W · 137 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc449…2239backed Yes56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.142857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Yes37c337.84$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.845641.1%23 W · 33 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes80c331.34$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2741344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19bc…7d78backed No6c317.47$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2212646.8%59 W · 67 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes36c309.95$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.3768942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes37c300$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18927752%144 W · 133 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x833a…5d74backed Yes36c299.99$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1921346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.2717234.9%60 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf133…928dbacked Yes37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.277451.4%38 W · 36 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed No65c269.7$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.3113249.2%65 W · 67 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3893…6e0cbacked Yes37c268.13$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.132240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes35c264.45$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.8979650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed Yes80c250.76$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.157963.3%50 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed No64c250$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x098f…47cdbacked No63c228.98$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.85259.6%31 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed Yes65c225$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.356048.3%29 W · 31 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No63c220.49$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14029458.2%171 W · 123 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb5b…f9a9backed Yes56c215.63$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+30.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb93b…454bbacked Yes36c208.33$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.334259.5%25 W · 17 L+5.8wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+36.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x204b…a4eebacked Yes37c197.3$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.3560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+59.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked No55c190.91$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10515949.7%79 W · 80 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6fe…c8c2backed No63c190.48$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206149.2%30 W · 31 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Yes57c188.82$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.1914252.8%75 W · 67 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ccf…b312backed Yes37c186.7$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.71136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed No26c176.23$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3725949.4%128 W · 131 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ad5…783dbacked Yes60c175$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa40f…2fa3backed No64c162.5$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1043756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes38c158$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9835247.7%168 W · 184 L-18.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a54…f7f9backed No64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002540%10 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1351…bebcbacked No63c150$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.55038%19 W · 31 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed No63c150$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.58349.4%41 W · 42 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Yes35c142.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8610342.7%44 W · 59 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes37c140.54$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.548942.7%38 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe8…2026backed Yes57c140.35$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.352825%7 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-37.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed No63c139.98$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.1923353.6%125 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ef4…a780backed Yes37c139.08$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.621338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d69…beecbacked Yes36c138.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.897936.7%29 W · 50 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Yes65c138.53$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0329253.4%156 W · 136 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0756…38c9backed Yes37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.145543.6%24 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No36c132.82$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5330739.4%121 W · 186 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x87d5…9790backed Yes38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5810345.6%47 W · 56 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.