Premier League · resolved market
Will Everton vs. Newcastle end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ed53018ae15074cc519f3452fc9c5ab30953d4a5c85a5a07e4ee4483d0f612a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,143
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,624
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,143 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe916…4563backed Yes | 30c | 9,811$2,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,943 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 9,072$6,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,425.63 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 2c | 7,989$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.66 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 78c | 4,850$3,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.02 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 197 | 29.4%58 W · 139 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 71c | 1,858$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.82 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…b44dbacked Yes | 14c | 1,805$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.76 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 30c | 1,612$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.5 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 30c | 1,333$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed No | 72c | 1,198$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.87 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 28c | 991.68$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.67 | 178 | 33.7%60 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…6cc9backed Yes | 30c | 766.67$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 71c | 751$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.79 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a4…a73ebacked Yes | 3c | 499.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x526d…080abacked Yes | 30c | 431$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Yes | 29c | 420.69$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 198 | 26.3%52 W · 146 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5eca…969abacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked No | 71c | 377.39$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.44 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 71c | 370$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.3 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…2d68backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7529…5cd7backed Yes | 4c | 333.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…b07abacked Yes | 30c | 327.1$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed Yes | 29c | 300.63$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.18 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes | 30c | 233.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 24c | 166.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 86 | 26.7%23 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2822…741dbacked Yes | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x508e…648bbacked No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93e8…c261backed Yes | 29c | 120.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…651fbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 291 | 58.4%170 W · 121 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes | 27c | 96.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8784…f1aebacked Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…1a8abacked Yes | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5b…69ebbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 289 | 50.9%147 W · 142 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…625ebacked Yes | 16c | 66.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e1…1046backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +97.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda50…2a41backed Yes | 29c | 44.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee09…1199backed No | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…f191backed Yes | 29c | 37.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 71c | 34.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 356 | 61.2%218 W · 138 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 71c | 32.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…b5dabacked No | 71c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80fe…290cbacked No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -11.1wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 71c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…47cdbacked No | 71c | 25.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed No | 71c | 20.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed No | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 71c | 17.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 255 | 51.8%132 W · 123 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Everton vs. Newcastle end in a draw?this page
- Will Everton win on 2025-11-29?No won
- Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.